I don't know why I kept following Pedro Baños
Pedro Baños went from being a go-to geopolitical analyst to a sensationalist. His failed predictions, clickbait and post-pandemic radicalisation drove his audience away.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Pedro Baños: the analyst who lost his trinc
"I don't know why I trinc him" is a common refrain among those who were once loyal to Pedro Baños. The retired colonel, once a geopolitical reference, is piling up criticism over his sensationalist drift and failed predictions. The most notorious: he claimed there would be no conflict in Ukraine just one day before Russia invaded. Since then, disillusionment has spread.
From serious geopolitics to clickbait
Those who praise his early work, such as the book "Así se domina el mundo" (2017), point out that Baños has changed. After the pandemic, he radicalised and began prioritising sensationalism over analysis. His YouTube thumbnails — with exaggerated gestures — and his constant catastrophist headlines have been mocked. "He looks like Dross narrating pavor stories, but then he smiles and it all amounts to nothing," people comment.
Analysis without sources
Another recurring complaint is the lack of rigour. According to his critics, Baños does not cite official reports or verified sources; he merely comments on tweets and repeats tired ideas. His books, for many, are "unreadable doorstoppers". His credibility has sunk so low that even those who trinc him for years admit having "wasted time" on his content.
The turning point: Ukraine
Russia's invasion of Ukraine was the key moment. Baños had publicly dismissed the possibility of an imminent war. The next day, Russian troops crossed the border. That mistake — along with his turn to clickbait — sealed the mass exodus of his audience.
The question remains open: how did an analyst who seemed solid become an entertainment figure? The data doesn't lie: when content is hollowed out, even the most loyal trinc leave.
Related discussions in the forum
"I don't know why I trinc him" is a common refrain among those who were once loyal to Pedro Baños. The retired colonel, once a geopolitical reference, is piling up criticism over his sensationalist drift and failed predictions. The most notorious: he claimed there would be no conflict in Ukraine just one day before Russia invaded. Since then, disillusionment has spread.
From serious geopolitics to clickbait
Those who praise his early work, such as the book "Así se domina el mundo" (2017), point out that Baños has changed. After the pandemic, he radicalised and began prioritising sensationalism over analysis. His YouTube thumbnails — with exaggerated gestures — and his constant catastrophist headlines have been mocked. "He looks like Dross narrating pavor stories, but then he smiles and it all amounts to nothing," people comment.
Analysis without sources
Another recurring complaint is the lack of rigour. According to his critics, Baños does not cite official reports or verified sources; he merely comments on tweets and repeats tired ideas. His books, for many, are "unreadable doorstoppers". His credibility has sunk so low that even those who trinc him for years admit having "wasted time" on his content.
The turning point: Ukraine
Russia's invasion of Ukraine was the key moment. Baños had publicly dismissed the possibility of an imminent war. The next day, Russian troops crossed the border. That mistake — along with his turn to clickbait — sealed the mass exodus of his audience.
The question remains open: how did an analyst who seemed solid become an entertainment figure? The data doesn't lie: when content is hollowed out, even the most loyal trinc leave.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (35 replies).
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