Huge: Have Russia and China betrayed Iran? Colonel Baños thinks so
Have Russia and China abandoned Iran after the US and Israeli offensive? Colonel Baños says so, but a closer look at the data reveals multiple readings.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Did Russia and China betray Iran? Colonel Baños divides opinion
On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a massive offensive against Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and destroying nuclear facilities. The long-awaited response from the allied powers, Russia and China, never came. While Colonel Baños calls it a betrayal, the data suggests a more complex reality: the inaction could be a strategic calculation, not an abandonment.
The February 28 offensive and Beijing's silence
The attack triggered the biggest energy crisis since 1973. Russia described the bombings as "a premeditated act of armed aggression", but sent no troops and did not activate its defense systems. China, for its part, kept a low profile, limiting itself to generic statements. Analysis pieces such as the one published on 19-02-2026 by Oded Ailam question China's silence, noting that Beijing "is playing a long game, supplying oxygen while refusing to walk into the fire".
Pragmatism or a long game?
One line of analysis holds that the passivity is not betrayal but prudence: a direct confrontation with the United States would have incalculable consequences. Others, like Jorge Carrera Domenech in "El monje en la montaña", argue that Russia and China have abandoned Iran to avoid wearing themselves out, replicating the American strategy in Ukraine of indirect support. The thesis that Moscow and Beijing are seeking to drag Washington into a similar war of attrition while avoiding direct confrontation is gaining traction in certain circles.
The debate remains open: while some see betrayal, others warn that the inaction is part of a multipolar board where pariahs are expendable pawns. What is certain is that Iran was left alone against its enemies, and the promised alliance never materialized.
Related debates in the forum
On February 28, 2026, the United States and Israel launched a massive offensive against Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and destroying nuclear facilities. The long-awaited response from the allied powers, Russia and China, never came. While Colonel Baños calls it a betrayal, the data suggests a more complex reality: the inaction could be a strategic calculation, not an abandonment.
The February 28 offensive and Beijing's silence
The attack triggered the biggest energy crisis since 1973. Russia described the bombings as "a premeditated act of armed aggression", but sent no troops and did not activate its defense systems. China, for its part, kept a low profile, limiting itself to generic statements. Analysis pieces such as the one published on 19-02-2026 by Oded Ailam question China's silence, noting that Beijing "is playing a long game, supplying oxygen while refusing to walk into the fire".
Pragmatism or a long game?
One line of analysis holds that the passivity is not betrayal but prudence: a direct confrontation with the United States would have incalculable consequences. Others, like Jorge Carrera Domenech in "El monje en la montaña", argue that Russia and China have abandoned Iran to avoid wearing themselves out, replicating the American strategy in Ukraine of indirect support. The thesis that Moscow and Beijing are seeking to drag Washington into a similar war of attrition while avoiding direct confrontation is gaining traction in certain circles.
The debate remains open: while some see betrayal, others warn that the inaction is part of a multipolar board where pariahs are expendable pawns. What is certain is that Iran was left alone against its enemies, and the promised alliance never materialized.
Related debates in the forum
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (11 replies).
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