75% Are Owners: The Thesis Sparking Debate
Believe it or not: the housing crisis "is an invention," claims one participant in the discussion. According to their post, around
75% of households in Spain live in owner-occupied housing, meaning for this majority, rising prices aren't a social tragedy but a revaluation of their assets. The discussion kicks off with that provocative statement. And the response, as expected, comes with numbers.
75% Are In: Who Truly Suffers from Prices
According to the same intervention, the real affordability strain is concentrated in a niche of the market. Only around
4.3% of mortgaged homeowners dedicate more than 40% of their income to housing. Among tenants, this percentage
exceeds 28%. If renters represent nearly a quarter of the population, the calculation made by this forum user is simple: the hardship affects
approximately 7% of the total.
- Mortgaged homeowners in financial strain: 4.3%
- Tenants in financial strain: over 28%
- Total population affected: around 7%
Therein lies the famous crisis, according to this perspective. Tiny in percentage, brutal for those living it every day.
The State as a Partner Collecting on Every Transaction
Another contribution to the debate argues that property tax (IBI), municipal capital gains tax, the transfer tax (ITP) on each sale, and income tax (IRPF) on rent turn the State into the majority partner. With this structure, any government that genuinely lowered housing prices would be shooting itself in the foot regarding revenue, they add. Therefore, according to this participant, the land law remains unchanged. The framework isn't incompetence but
incentive, well-oiled.
The 25-45 Age Group, Off the Board
The same participant describes the 75% ownership as a snapshot, sustained by those who no longer buy, sell, or move, while the 25-45 age cohort is left out. Their options, they say, are three, and none are good: emigrate with a precarious contract, share a flat until their 40s, or wait for an inheritance that may never come. Regarding immigration, their view is that it
accelerates an existing tension, it doesn't cause it: newcomers don't buy because they can't, and neither can those born here.
With these elements, why aren't there massive protests? It's the question the debate leaves open. Perhaps because the majority of homeowners don't want prices to fall, suggests another intervention. And keeping property
scarce, expensive, and profitable isn't an opinion, but the manual, according to this forum user.