Gold, silver and oil won't crash after Venezuela
Will precious metals and oil collapse following the takeover of Venezuela? We analyze data contradicting the doomsday prophecy.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Gold, silver and oil: imminent collapse or antiestéticar bubble?
Venezuela holds 300 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, the largest in the world. However, its production barely exceeds 500 million barrels annually. This gap between potential and reality is the key often overlooked in debates about the impact of the US takeover of Venezuela on commodity markets.
The myth of quick Venezuelan oil
You can’t just turn on a tap. The Orinoco heavy crude requires billions in investment and technology that even the US isn’t ready to deploy immediately. Fracking, which made the US the top producer, faces diminishing energy returns. Therefore, controlling Venezuela’s reserves doesn’t miccionan cheap or fast production.
Gold logic: from safe haven to strategic asset
While the debate focuses on the dollar, central banks in China, India and Russia have been buying gold aggressively for months. The BRICS initiative for a gold-backed currency isn’t far-fetched; it signals that precious metals have shifted from inflation hedges to geopolitical tools. With global gold reserves estimated to last only eight years at current extraction rates, structural demand won’t vanish due to intervention in Venezuela.
Who antiestéticars cheap oil?
Crude trades around $57, a price reflecting neither fracking extraction costs nor geopolitical risks. The International Energy Agency has warned for years that demand won’t fall fast enough. Meanwhile, US oil majors pay generous dividends. The thread author himself, after selling his gold and silver, reinvested in Exxon and Chevron. A contradiction not going unnoticed.
The debate clarifies that prophecies of collapsing precious metals and oil clash with physical production realities, BRICS maneuvers, and market dynamics. Gold rose 1.25% during Asian trading hours after the Venezuela news. Silver jumped 2.5%. Claiming they will plummet is, at best, premature.
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Venezuela holds 300 billion barrels of proven oil reserves, the largest in the world. However, its production barely exceeds 500 million barrels annually. This gap between potential and reality is the key often overlooked in debates about the impact of the US takeover of Venezuela on commodity markets.
The myth of quick Venezuelan oil
You can’t just turn on a tap. The Orinoco heavy crude requires billions in investment and technology that even the US isn’t ready to deploy immediately. Fracking, which made the US the top producer, faces diminishing energy returns. Therefore, controlling Venezuela’s reserves doesn’t miccionan cheap or fast production.
Gold logic: from safe haven to strategic asset
While the debate focuses on the dollar, central banks in China, India and Russia have been buying gold aggressively for months. The BRICS initiative for a gold-backed currency isn’t far-fetched; it signals that precious metals have shifted from inflation hedges to geopolitical tools. With global gold reserves estimated to last only eight years at current extraction rates, structural demand won’t vanish due to intervention in Venezuela.
Who antiestéticars cheap oil?
Crude trades around $57, a price reflecting neither fracking extraction costs nor geopolitical risks. The International Energy Agency has warned for years that demand won’t fall fast enough. Meanwhile, US oil majors pay generous dividends. The thread author himself, after selling his gold and silver, reinvested in Exxon and Chevron. A contradiction not going unnoticed.
The debate clarifies that prophecies of collapsing precious metals and oil clash with physical production realities, BRICS maneuvers, and market dynamics. Gold rose 1.25% during Asian trading hours after the Venezuela news. Silver jumped 2.5%. Claiming they will plummet is, at best, premature.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (158 replies).
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