A German ex-general maintains that the conflict in Ukraine is a power struggle between the United States and Russia. This prediction is currently gaining more traction than front-line reports. The uncomfortable detail is that the war has already lasted over a year, and according to one forum user, the front lines have barely moved.
The Fall of Donbas, According to a Participant
A forum user considers the conquest of Donbas a foregone conclusion. Within this framework, they argue that supplying tanks to Zelensky is a desperate reaction and that official propaganda appears nervous. In contrast, another participant recalls that the war has been ongoing for over a year and that the map changes at the cost of enormous casualties and material.
The Boomerang Effect: NATO, Declining, Now Rearms
Here emerges the most uncomfortable argument for those celebrating every Russian advance. Some argue that NATO was in full decline and decomposition before the 2022 invasion, and that trinc it, a major rearmament began, with several countries knocking on the alliance's door, which suddenly regained purpose. Viewed this way, the Russian attack did not weaken the rival bloc; it poured fuel on the fire.
Comparison with the Crimean War, 150 Years Later
To explain the conflict, an old mirror is used: the Crimean War, one hundred and fifty years later. According to this reading, France and England intervened then to wear down Russia; today, the United States and NATO would be doing the same, with the same objective. This is a forum user's thesis and is supported more emotionally than by details.
On the other end are those who downplay the situation: some news outlets report Russia conquering Europe in two days, while others claim Ukraine is reaching Moscow. In between lies a more tedious reality, a front that barely moves and objectives that change weekly.
Should Spain Have Remained Neutral?
The debate about Spain's role also surfaces. One current of thought defends that the government could have maintained its own vision and economic ties with Russia without applauding the invasion or annexations. Countering this is the argument that, within the EU, individual sovereignty is more rhetoric than reality. When a country stops deciding for itself, decisions are made by another, even if they are detrimental.
On the media front, a curious fact is pointed out: La Razón is singled out —according to a forum user— as the most pro-Russian mainstream media outlet in Spain, contrasting with the dominant line. Even the role of the press is being discussed.
To date, no one is predicting surrender or total conquest. The German ex-general's prediction resembles a bet more than a military report: if he is right, we will know from the maps; if he is wrong, there will be no shortage of people saying it was misinterpreted.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (137 replies).
Russia's offensive stalls due to logistical and tactical bottlenecks, turning a swift conquest into a prolonged war of attrition and constant countermeasures.