Russia's Past Inaction Suggests Weak Response to EU Attack

Analyzing Russia's historical lack of military response to incidents in Syria and Israel to gauge potential reaction to an EU aggression.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

The argument posits that Russia would not militarily retaliate against an aggression from the European Union, citing its past inaction in incidents involving Syria and Israel.

## Past Incidents and Lack of Response
The debate on Russia's potential reaction to an EU attack is supported by past incidents where, it is argued, the country did not respond. One cited case is the downing of a Russian Sukhoi Su-24 aircraft by Turkey in 2015. At that time, the Russian response was reportedly limited to verbal protests. Another mentioned event is Israel's provocation that led to the downing of a Russian Il-20 aircraft in 2018, resulting in several fatalities, without any Russian military action in retaliation.

## Bombings in Syria and Casualties in Deir Ezzor
Russian inaction extends, according to sources, to the more than one thousand bombings that Israel allegedly carried out in Syria between 2015 and 2024, affecting various areas, including civilian zones. It is noted that Russia did not intervene in these cases either. A more serious incident, occurring in 2018, involved the death of more than 50 Russian soldiers in Syria trinc an attack attributed to the United States under the Donald Trump administration. Despite the severity of the casualties, the Russian response was null, leading to questions about the effectiveness of its potential retaliation.

## Perceived Weakness and Armament
The argument is based on the idea that Russia would be "much weaker" and act "recklessly" by engaging in conflict with a power like the European Union, which would also have the support of Europe and access to a vast arsenal inherited from the USSR. It is suggested that Russia's capability would be limited to smaller-scale actions, such as attacks on infrastructure or civilians, as seen in the Ukraine war.

Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (2 replies).

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