Forum poll: 80% of votes go to Vox, participants say

Cast your vote: 2027 election in a bubble

Does anyone really believe that a poll conducted on an internet forum is good for anything? The question is not rhetorical. In an Economics subforum, a vote has been launched about the 2027 elections and the result, within hours, was already a statistical joke: 80% of the votes were concentrated in Vox, according to the count that the participants themselves discussed. The sample is not Spanish society. It is a club of chess players, rentiers and angry retirees who laugh at themselves while voting.

The exercise has its charm. And also its usefulness: it serves to X-ray how false majorities are built on the internet. «In this forum, where most of us know how to play chess (15% of the Spanish population), we vote for Vox at 80%», summarizes one participant. The phrase, between irony and self-awareness, is the best description of the phenomenon: a community that knows it is atypical and yet votes as if it were the census.

What is being voted on and who votes

The poll was updated with more options after the first complaints. Parties were missing and certainties were in excess. MiniFreak asked for the option “I don't vote because I have an IQ above 80,” and others demanded Pacma, the Popular Front of Aaaa, Alvise and Iustitia Europa. The list of absences says more about the voter than about the party: each one misses what represents them.

Some directly refuse to participate. Papo de luz made it clear: «I choose not to be a votont». NORDWAND put a price on his ballot: «Is there anyone who offers 5000 bucks for my vote?». And Gigatr0n confessed to having voted eight times for PSOE, which invalidates any serious reading of the result. The poll, in short, is a simulation.

The bias that no one hides

The composition of the forum is no mystery. Ilich Ramirez Sanchez described it bluntly: a space where, in his opinion, the majority votes for Vox and the owner does too. His conclusion, which compares the exercise to conducting a poll in villages “99.9% full of poor fascist rednecks,” is an opinion attributable to its author, not a fact. But the core of the argument—that a self-selected sample represents nothing—is basic statistics.

Self-selection is the original sin of any online poll. There is no random sampling, no weighting by age, sens, income or territory. Whoever responds is whoever wants to respond. And whoever wants to respond in an economics and politics forum usually has a very formed opinion and is very motivated to express it.

What the vote does reveal

Beyond the result, the exercise shows three things. First: the fragmentation of the vote on the right, with Vox as the dominant option and liberal or emerging parties claiming their space. Second: institutional disaffection, expressed in jokes about voting eight times or selling one's vote for €5,000. Third: awareness of the bias. No one in the conversation pretends this is an electoral projection.

«Just a note for the community managers who will inform the parties: a respectable number of civil servants and they crush it among the funcionarios», points out la_trotona. The joke has a real background: civil servants are a stable and mobilized voting bloc, and the parties know it. If anyone draws conclusions from this poll, let it be that one.

What is such a poll good for, then?

For nothing predictive. For everything else. A vote in a forum measures the temperature of a specific community, not that of the country. It serves to see what issues mobilize, what parties generate visceral rejection and what arguments circulate. As a social thermometer it is noise. As a thermometer of a niche, it is data.

The next time someone cites an internet poll as if it were the CIS, it is worth remembering this exercise. 23 responses, 8 votes for PSOE from a single participant and 80% for Vox. With those wickers, any basket holds up. Or not.