Executive Cited in Forum: “2.5 Euros Are Possible”

Diesel nears €2, gasoline 95 and 98 already exceed it, according to forum posts. A cited executive places €2.50 within weeks.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Executive Cited in Forum: “2.5 Euros Are Possible”
The thread looks at €2.50 for gasoline while diesel nears €2

Spain will not evade the €2.50 per liter, according to the message that started the thread. At least, that is what a high-ranking official from one of the country's major oil companies maintains, without beating around the bush: “There is no difference between diesel and petrol; €2.50 could easily arrive in the coming weeks if things do not improve in the Middle East.” With gasoline 95 and 98 already priced above two euros, according to the same message, and diesel stuck at that figure despite the aid from the Executive branch mentioned by the forum user, the discussion is no longer about whether prices will rise. It is about how long it will take.

How much does it cost to fill up today

The current prices reflect the problem without needing graphs. One forum member said he had pumped diesel at €1.99 per liter at a Repsol station. Another message stated the exact two euros: 70 liters, almost €140 to fill a work van. And unleaded gasoline 95 and 98, which is consumed by most passenger cars, would already exceed those figures, according to the thread messages.

The evolution has its own memory. Three decades ago, they used to pump pesetas. Then two thousand [pesetas]. After twenty euros, then thirty. Now the round figure repeated by one forum member —“I always put in fifty”—is starting to fall short for half a tank. This is not an anecdote: it is an indicator of how inflation has eaten into the purchasing power of fuel.

Why is diesel making the entire shopping basket more expensive

Diesel is not just another product. It powers trucks, agricultural machinery, and much of the freight transport. When the price per liter skyrockets, the increased cost travels through the logistical chain to the supermarket shelf. This is why fuel is cited as one of the causes of persistent inflation in food and services.

There is a secondary argument, less repeated: fuel markets do not operate in isolation. If the price rises in one country, continental logistical chains redirect supply from the cheaper neighbor, which eventually contaminates prices across the entire region. According to a message in the thread, the result is a European bloc with fuel priced between 1.8 and 2.2 euros per liter in practically all countries, with the exception of Russia and Belarus.

Is the electric car inevitable

Here, the disagreement is profound. One current holds that the rising cost of fossil fuels and the decreasing cost of electric power are two curves crossing, and that this crossing is already occurring: if peak oil is a few years away and there is no better alternative, migration is only a matter of time. Another part of the analysis attributes this not to the market but to regulation: prohibition of combustion engines by 2035, low-emission zones, tolls based on labels. It is argued that the market, left to its own devices, would not have forced such a change.

The most optimistic voices recall that sodium batteries are only two years old and advancing rapidly, and that the Chinese dependence has less lifespan than oil: it is bought once, not every week. The skeptics point out that artificial intelligence data centers are already straining the electrical grid, which in Spain has forced industries to shut down for hours, and that there is increasing reliance on combined-cycle gas turbines to prevent blackouts like the one in April 2025.

What the electric car cannot fix

A point remains that bothers both sides. Everything that moves—tractors, trucks, processing factories—runs on fossil fuels, and the electrification of personal mobility does not touch that core. For some participants, the most efficient alternative for freight already exists and it is not a battery-powered truck: it is the train. That it has been sidelined in favor of the road is, for many, the central paradox of the matter.

With current prices, there are those who predict three euros per liter before the year ends in Spain and Portugal. Nobody endorses that scenario. It depends on the Middle East, Yanbu, and whether alternative routes can handle the flow. Too many variables for certainty.

Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (202 replies).

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