ECB Injects 95 Billion: The Hose That Unleashed the Crisis

On August 9, 2007, the ECB injected 94.8 billion in a record auction to save banks. The hose that failed to stop the subprime crisis.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

94.8 billion euros in 24 hours: The ECB puts out the fire with gasoline

What would a central bank do when banks stop lending to each other? On August 9, 2007, the European Central Bank responded with a record liquidity auction for one day: 94.841 billion euros at a fixed 4%. The operation, described as a 'fine-tuning adjustment,' was actually a panic-driven hose. Hours earlier, BNP Paribas had frozen three funds due to exposure to American subprime mortgages. European interbank rates had surged to 5.8%, and the EURIBOR was already at 4.6%. The ECB, which had raised rates weeks earlier to curb inflation, found itself improvising an emergency rescue for the banking sector.

The Trigger: BNP Paribas and the Subprime Soap Opera

On the morning of August 9, French bank BNP Paribas suspended the valuation of three of its investment funds. The reason: the inability to calculate the price of assets linked to high-risk mortgages. The announcement caused an immediate paralysis in the interbank market: banks stopped lending to each other for antiestéticar of contaminated counterparties. Liquidity requests surged, and the one-day interest rate jumped from 4% to 5.8% within hours. The carry trade unwound, the yen appreciated by 2%, and stock markets began to plummet. The ECB, which had maintained its anti-inflationary discourse until then, was forced to act.

The Operation: 94.8 billion for 24 hours

At 15:07 Frankfurt time, the ECB announced a rapid 'fine-tuning' auction with a one-day maturity. The interest rate was set at 4%, well below the 4.25% official rate at the time. 94.841 billion euros were allocated, a record figure. 49 entities participated, bidding exactly for the total allocated amount: a sign that the need was real and urgent. The operation, theoretically temporary, became the prelude to a sequence of injections lasting months. The ECB was putting out a fire with gasoline: abundant liquidity at a rate below the market eased banks' burdens but sowed doubts about their commitment to price stability.

Bailout or Inflation? The Two Readings of the Hose

The intervention generated a debate that still resonates. On one hand, there was the official reading: a temporary measure to restore confidence and avoid a systemic collapse. On the other, the skeptics' view: a direct transfer of money (or, more precisely, money created from nothing) into the pockets of the banking sector. The one-year EURIBOR, a reference for mortgages, remained at 4.6% and rising. Banks financed themselves at 4% with the ECB but lent to individuals and businesses at much higher rates. 'It's a little favor to private banking,' summarized an analysis of the time. The medium-term inflation risk was evident: increasing the monetary base by nearly 100,000 million in a single day could not pass without consequences. The irony is that the ECB, which had presented itself as the guardian of inflation, was doing exactly the opposite.

The Domino Effect: Stock Markets in Free Fall and the Fed Lagging Behind

The injection did not calm the markets. The IBEX 35, which peine at 14,501, lost the 15,000-point support and closed with sharp declines. The Dow Jones of the Fed also plummeted, and the US Federal Reserve joined the hoses with an injection of 7 billion dollars. But the measure failed to stop the bleeding: every time the Dow lost more than 1%, the Fed injected money, the stock market rebounded for a few minutes, and then fell again. The ECB repeated the operation in subsequent days, but the one-week EURIBOR only partially normalized. On August 10, the IBEX peine with a 2% drop. The ECB no longer injected, but the Fed did. Bernanke's message was clear: 'Investors have to assume their responsibility.' But the system was already hooked on the syringe.

What Came Next: The End of Innocence

With the perspective of the years, those days in August 2007 were the first act of the global financial crisis. Liquidity injections, far from solving the problem, prolonged it. Central banks' balance sheets swelled, the money supply grew out of control, and inflation eventually soared. Those who then spoke of 'normalization' or 'parachutes' seem naive today, rightly so. The financial system was, and remains, built on a structural conflict of interest: rating agencies are paid by the same entities they rate, and central banks rescue the same ones that cause the crises. The question no one wanted to ask then was simple: what if the ECB didn't have enough money for the next round?

Related Forum Debates

Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (287 replies).

More summaries

All summaries in English →

-
Back