Cyclosporiasis in Michigan: two deaths, 6,707 cases and zero pandemic
Two deaths in Michigan, both involving pre-existing conditions. Since May 1, 6,707 laboratory-confirmed cases and more than 11,500 under investigation. The number sounds serious. The reality is far less so: cyclosporiasis is a protozoan, not a bicho, and it does not spread from person to person. With these figures, the fatality rate is negligible: below 0.03%.
The outbreak's numbers
The official count speaks of two fatalities. It is no mistake that the figure seems small: the infection kills the same way any severe diarrhea kills a fragile body, through dehydration. In healthy patients, it causes discomfort but rarely serious complications. The disease is treatable: cotrimoxazole, and recovery takes four days. That detail, the quick cure, dismantles the narrative of a prolonged health crisis.
Why is it not the new cobi19?
Cyclospora cayetanensis is neither a bicho nor a bacterium. It is a coccidian protozoan, a microscopic parasite acquired by consuming food or water contaminated with feces. Person-to-person transmission does not exist: the oocysts shed in feces need days or weeks in the environment to sporulate before becoming infectious. Without that external phase, there is no direct contagion. The outbreak points to a common source, most likely leafy green vegetables.
The parallel with the early days of the cobi19 crisis has led more than one person to speculate about stockpiling blueberries, the food historically associated with outbreaks in the US. The anecdote has its touch of dark humor, but the rational response is another: wash vegetables thoroughly and wait for the epidemiological investigation.
Two deaths are two tragedies, not a pattern. With a fatality rate barely above 0.03% and no person-to-person transmission, the "it's coming" mantra remains a rumor that smells of poorly washed vegetables. The next chapter will be written by the health agencies, not by the prophets of doom.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (25 replies).
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