CHEGA leads polls in Portugal as VOX eyes a breakthrough in Spain
CHEGA tops a Portuguese poll from September 2025, while VOX in Spain reaches 18%. We look at the parallels and the electoral scepticism.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
CHEGA leads in Portugal and opens the door to a VOX breakthrough
On 13 September 2025, CHEGA, a member of the Patriots group, came out on top in a highly reliable Portuguese poll according to Electomania. The figure, reported by the portal la8zaragoza, is no one-off: the parallels with Spain are direct. Looming in the background is the spectre of a global breakthrough by the radical right across the Iberian Peninsula.
In Spain, El País already put VOX at 18% of voting intention, with an upward trend that, according to the analysis, is spreading panic among the two main parties. These are no random figures: the same dynamic driving CHEGA in Portugal — discontent, frustration, a desire for change — is at work on the other side of the border.
Not everyone believes the polls, however. "The elections are more rigged than first-person videos," the argument goes. Scepticism about polls and the electoral process itself is an undercurrent running through the debate.
What nobody disputes is that CHEGA's rise has held up an uncomfortable mirror to the Iberian establishment. The question that remains: is this an irreversible shift or a polling mirage? With figures this volatile, nobody dares to answer.
On 13 September 2025, CHEGA, a member of the Patriots group, came out on top in a highly reliable Portuguese poll according to Electomania. The figure, reported by the portal la8zaragoza, is no one-off: the parallels with Spain are direct. Looming in the background is the spectre of a global breakthrough by the radical right across the Iberian Peninsula.
In Spain, El País already put VOX at 18% of voting intention, with an upward trend that, according to the analysis, is spreading panic among the two main parties. These are no random figures: the same dynamic driving CHEGA in Portugal — discontent, frustration, a desire for change — is at work on the other side of the border.
Not everyone believes the polls, however. "The elections are more rigged than first-person videos," the argument goes. Scepticism about polls and the electoral process itself is an undercurrent running through the debate.
What nobody disputes is that CHEGA's rise has held up an uncomfortable mirror to the Iberian establishment. The question that remains: is this an irreversible shift or a polling mirage? With figures this volatile, nobody dares to answer.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (27 replies).
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