Alvise promised not to split the right: the toll after four elections

Alvise promised not to split the right: the toll after four elections

When Alvise Pérez announced his candidacy for the 2024 European elections, he promised to limit himself to that arena so as not to harm right-wing parties. Months later, his party SALF has run in regional and general elections, and data from Andalusia shows a net transfer of around 100,000 votes from Vox, enough to have cost it several seats. The initial promise has faded.

The immunity that brought no revelations
Alvise justified his jump into politics with the need to obtain parliamentary immunity to "dig up dirt" without reprisals. Since becoming an MEP, his most notable posts have been videos of empty plenary sessions, something that was already public knowledge. No revelation that was not previously known has come to light. He also promised to share his salary among his trinc; he only did so the first month and then the initiative disappeared. He also said he would not attend the European Parliament, but records show he attends and claims allowances.

The electoral cost for Vox: the Andalusia numbers
An analysis of the 2026 Andalusian regional election results compared to the 2023 general election reveals that Vox lost approximately 100,000 votes, coinciding with the emergence of SALF. In provinces like Seville, Vox went from 141,000 to 139,000 votes, while SALF got 12,000; in Jaén, Vox fell from 54,400 to 51,500, with SALF adding 4,500. Overall, if those votes had stayed with Vox, the party would have won three more seats, probably at the expense of the PSOE. The fragmentation has objectively benefited the two-party system.

Controlled dissidence or just a buffoon?
Theories about Alvise range from considering him an intelligence operation (CNI) to control discontented voters, or simply an opportunist who has known how to capitalize on political fatigue. SALF voters tend to be people who have tried other options (Podemos, Vox) and seek punishment and spectacle. The party's financing remains opaque, and connections with former senior police officials fuel suspicions that he is not an independent actor.

What is certain is that the promise not to harm the right has been broken. Every vote for SALF is a vote that does not go to Vox, and in an electoral system that punishes fragmentation, the result is a gift for the PSOE and PP. The question left hanging is whether Alvise is aware of this or is simply a pawn in a larger game.

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