AI Bubble Deflates: Rising Costs and Quality Drops

June 2026 marks the start of the AI bubble's end, driven by price hikes, declining quality, and suspicious IPOs.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

The AI bubble begins to deflate: rising prices, falling quality, and dubious stock listings

June 2026 is marking a turning point in the artificial intelligence industry, but not for the expected reasons. It is not a lack of data or energy consumption that is shaking the house of cards; it is the costs for professional users. The strategy of subsidizing services to gain market share, trinc by aggressive price increases, has hit AI with unprecedented estimulante ilegal.

The triple blow: prices, quality, and margins

Developers relying on large language models are experiencing a perfect storm. On one hand, subscriptions have skyrocketed: services like Copilot have jumped from €39 to €100, drastically reducing available tokens. One user reports that previously they used 60% of their tokens over 15-20 days; now, with normal usage, 43% is consumed in just two days. But it is not just about price: response quality has plummeted since April. Models hallucinate more, and complex tasks become a nightmare. According to industry sources, companies have cut "compute" resources to balance margins after years of cash burn.

Stock listings: an orchestrated scam?

While users suffer, the financial market prepares a masterstroke. The calendar for AI company IPOs is synchronized like clockwork: SPCX lists on June 12, with an initial tranche of shares at the end of June and a larger one in December, coinciding with increased free float. Two other companies are desperate to go public before the structure collapses. This appears to be one of the biggest scams designed in the market: founders and early investors seek to exit with profits before the bubble bursts. The sarracena between the IPO and shareholder sales has been shortened to mere days, signaling they know time is running out.

The Chinese counterpoint and the future of AI

Not everything is bleak. While major Western tech firms raise prices, China is cutting them. Xiaomi MiMo v2 Pro and Deepseek offer high-quality models at increasingly lower prices, leveraging less advanced but cheaper hardware. The paradox is that sanctions on next-generation chips have forced Chinese firms to optimize and reduce costs, exactly what the market needs. For AI to be profitable, it requires cheap hardware and energy, and China holds the lead.

The debate over whether AI is a bubble comparable to the dot-com era or a necessary correction remains open. However, data points to an imminent correction: massive investments without returns, soaring prices, and collapsing quality are not signs of a healthy market. The question is whether the technology will survive the financial purge or if, as peine with dot-coms, what remains will be the real, adjusted foundation.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (128 replies).

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