A massive two-bloc war fantasy: EU+China against Russia+Mongolia

A forum post suggests the EU and China ally to dismantle two empires and set a border at the Yenisei River. An idea with no economic basis, best read with distance.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

There is no real plan for war between blocs: it is a proposal from a user asking the EU and China to invade one empire and cut ties with another. As an economic thesis it does not hold up, and as a map it ignores that the EU has no army of its own nor any authority to draw borders.

The European Union cannot declare wars: it lacks a common army and its **27 member states** each decide their own foreign policy. China, for its part, maintains a top-tier trade relationship with the EU, with goods exchange worth around **700 billion euros a year** according to Eurostat data. Any military alliance between the two blocs collides with that reality.

## A border on the Yenisei that nobody has agreed

The **Yenisei** River crosses Siberia from south to north and flows into the Arctic. Placing a border between Europe and China there is a geographical whim, not a diplomatic agreement. No treaty in force contemplates territorial partitions in northern Asia, and the UN Charter has banned annexation by force since **1945**.

## Breaking with a trading partner is not free

The proposal to cut trade ties with a foreign power would have an immediate cost for the European and Chinese companies operating in that market. The EU's foreign trade with Asian partners sustains millions of jobs; a total boycott has never been applied between economies of that size.

## Why this kind of plan never reaches the markets

Investors look at interest rates, inflation and supply chains, not imaginary maps. A plan that requires invading one country and isolating another has no translation into stock markets or public budgets. These flights of fancy are best taken for what they are: an opinion with no technical backing.

Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (3 replies).

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