⚡⚡(HILO OFICIAL) : CRISIS DEL cobi19 ☣SARS-CoV2☣

GM:KL&33

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Esto es muy importante, sí. Parece que casi todos los brotes comienzan de este modo. Aquí nos cuentan la tontería de que se contagia "en familia ", pero previamente un miembro de la familia ha sido contagiado y probablemente seria en algún evento de este tipo.
¿Tú no te das cuenta de que el bichito ya está difundido y contagiado? ¿Qué es lo que quieres controlar y detener?
 

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Bruselas......peor que Madrid..........801/100.000 roto2

16:30 cobi19 BÉLGICA | Los nuevos contagios de cobi19 siguen avanzando en Bélgica, que registra ya una incidencia acumulada media de 423 contagios por 100.000 habitantes, y 801 en Bruselas, mientras se multiplican las señales de alarma y van aumentando las restricciones.

lavanguardia.com
 

ÁcrataMagallania

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Voy a recopilar algunas predicciones del florero belga-rumano del floro de www.godlikeproductions.com, floro que tanto yo como @2plx2 hemos mencionado varias veces aquí. Lo hago debido al eco de su última predicción.

22 de Febrero (SHTF - Shit hits the fan - básicamente que se va todo a la cosa)

The pandemic is out of control. It always was. Probably the reason why WHO downplayed it, and all governments not doing anything to stop it...because IT CANNOT BE STOPPED.


We are approaching the end of the month, when hundreds of thousands of people will start presenting SERIOUS symptoms, and hospitals will be assaulted by patients.


It's game over. Next week will be the last "normal" week on Earth.

Things will speed up this week, A LOT. Panic will start next week, in many places.

SHTF by March 5-6.
-------------

I am closely watching Italy.

Expecting similar pattern with South Korea, possibly higher number of confirmed cases for Italy, considering that current cases in Italy are more spread then South Korea.


Italy had 19 total cases yesterday. I expect 50 new ones today (similar with South Korea second day, 49 cases), for a total of 70 cases in total at the end of Saturday, February 22nd, in Italy.


At this very moment, Italy have 42 total cases.

If Italy will have 68-70 total cases today (or more), I expect 100+ new cases tomorrow, and 200+ on Monday, amowing the South Korea pattern.

Eyes on Italy.


----------------------------

I don't know WHEN it will happen, but it is going to be soon.

What I do not know, and it might accelerate the SHTF, is PANIC.
I expect panic all over the world, but it highly depends on WHERE it will happen.


For example, an uncontrolled panic in Milan, Italy, amowing a lock-down will absolutely be more impactful then a panic in Qom, Iran.

Europeans and Americans won't blink an eye, if there is a panic buying in Qom....but if it's Milan, a major European city, they will give a fuck.


A panic buying in Milan can trigger a panic buying in MANY European cities.

3 de Marzo

The current model points to an overload of the healthcare systems in Europe and the U.S. to start around mid-March, with Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan to start feeling the pressure at the end of February.

The former model was pointing that the healthcare systems would start feeling the pressure around mid-February for Hong Kong, Singapore and Japan, with Europe and U.S. by early March.

The former model was off by about 2 weeks.

The new model will have its critical period between March 2nd-March 8th.
-------------------
UPDATE :


This is what I believe to take place by the end of the current week (March 2nd-March 8th), posted last week :


1.More Italian towns will be locked-down, with a high probability that one will be a major city.
2.France and Germany will have their first lock-downs.
3.Epidemic will spike in numbers in Scandinavian countries.
4.Bigger and bigger loses on the stock markets, with high chances for a collapse next week.
5.Panic buying across Europe, in multiple cities and countries.
6.One or more countries in Europe will close some borders.
7.Multiple hospitals in Europe will be over-crowded.
8.The U.K. will report a significant number of cases.
9.Spain is going to see first lock-downs.

Y esta el 12 de Mayo

What will happen after reopening.


I see many people arguing that it's been a week (or two, in some parts of the world) since things started to relax, and doesn't seem to be an explosion in cases.


To understand when we (we, the general population) will see that explosion in cases, please go back to my model on page 1 of the thread.


On my model, which was made to reflect how to bichito is spreading without any measures in place, due to exponential nature of the bichito, the effects were visible, across the world, after March 8th.

This was because 5 days earlier, on March 3rd, the number of infected people was 4 times smaller, hence, 4 times less visible.

However, many countries were in lock-down in early March, and most in mid-March, air travel (both international and national) dropped to less then 20%, tourism was basically zero after mid-March, so the infection rate plummeted.

That being said, the number of cases and deaths kept climbing, despite the lock-downs, because those were the results of previous infections, before lock-downs.


The effects of lock-downs were felt 3-4 weeks AFTER the lock-downs, when the infections and deaths started to plateau and decrease.


The same thing will happen with reopening.


The residual effects of lock-downs (low infection rate), paired with a gradual relaxing of measures AND with people being weary (many will wear masks for a while and avoid social contact) will be present for about 3-4 weeks.


We won't see any significant rise in cases aprox. 3-4 weeks after lock-downs are eased...actually, in many countries, were reopening is limited to parks, small stores, veg. markets, hair saloons and such, with mandatory masks indoors, the residual effects of lock-downs could last up to 6 weeks, especially if a significant number of people will abide by mandatory mask wearing and keep social distancing.


The second wave is going to be seen, by general population, between 4 to 6 weeks after reopening, quicker by those living in countries that will reopen factories, schools, bars, restaurants, etc., and later by those living in countries that will limit the reopening to smaller places.


The authorities will detect the second wave 2-3 weeks after reopening. But that doesn't miccionan that they will actually do anything about it.

I believe that the governments will choose, again, the wrong option, like they did since this started. Every worst measure that could have been possibly chose was chosen.

The governments did not took this bichito seriously, they did not started the lock-downs when it was supposed to (by early February, the entire world SHOULD have been on lock-downs, as I said since I started this thread), they didn't made masks mandatory (many countries don't even have masks mandatory even now), they did not grounded the ENTIRE air travel at the end of January, they did not stopped all travel with China in early January...basically, the governments reacted extremely late and their measures were poorly implemented.


The SAME thing will happen with reopening. They will choose the WRONG option : even if they will KNOW (before we will) that the second wave is upon us, a mere 2-3 weeks after reopening, they will choose to go forward, and not to lock-down when NEEDED.


Why will they do that?


Simply because it BUYS THEM TIME. The same as lock-downs bought them time with the health side of the problem, the gradual reopening will buy them time with the economic side of the problem.


But, not more then 6 weeks after reopening. In 6 weeks, the lock-downs will be back, in many countries. In others, they will revert to an earlier phase, pushing the second round of lock-downs couple more weeks.


They will rush with reopening...many already do, opening back big factories, malls, bars and schools. This is because they don't want to be "late" compared to others. It is all about money : "we will open when others will, so we won't lose the race".


The effect will be that most people will see this as "it's over, we're back to normal", instead of what ACTUALLY IS : an EXPERIMENT to see how the bichito hits when places were many people are congregating for long time.


And this will lead to a MASSIVE drop in human awareness : very soon, the number of those wearing masks will be close to zero, social distancing will be dropped, and the masses of lemmings will sing kumbaya, speeding toward the cliff.


Depending on the country, the size of reopening, the human behavior and residual effects of the lock-downs, the second wave will hit 3 to 4 weeks later (the governments will know earlier then that), and will be felt by the general population no later then 6 weeks.



Mark your calendars, because it will help you know when the preparation time is over, really over.


4 to 6 weeks after reopening, the lock-downs will be back. And when this happen, everyone will know it : we're fucked.

And everyone will assault the stores to make food reserves. Sadly, not even then, most will don't get it : the worst won't happen until fall/winter. And they won't prepare for such a long time.


You, on the other hand, will. Because you, like me, are understand what is happening, and were things are going.


Don't panic. October 2020 to April 2021 is going to be the worst time in recorded human history, but things will start to go bad the moment the second round of lock-downs is announced. People will go nuts.


Just prepare, as much as you can, to be SELF RELIABLE for as long as possible.



My worst-case scenario was postponed by the lock-downs and central banks throwing piles of cash in the economy. But that is over now. Everyone is rushing to open back up...because there are no money left to throw at the economy. Half the population is not working. Food prices are rising.


CHINESE bichito infection rate OUTSIDE China; UPDATE Page 266 - Page 200


Pues ando ojeando el foro y es un pelín frenopático...vamos, como aquí .

El hilo análogo a este:


cobi19/WORLD:37.757.000/USA:7.992.000/DAMAGE P10036/D614G P10205/ WOW, BIGGEST ONE-DAY INCREASE WORLDWIDE+EU 100.000 A DAY! P11087 - Page 11118
 

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Holanda + 7.400, esta tarde anuncia más restricciones:


2h ago13:59

Los holandeses registran más de 7.000 casos de cobi19 en un nuevo récord diario
Los Países Bajos alcanzaron un nuevo récord en casos diarios de cobi19, alcanzando casi 7,400 infecciones en 24 horas, según mostraron los datos publicados el martes.
Reuters informa que el gobierno se está preparando para anunciar nuevas restricciones sociales en una conferencia de prensa con el primer ministro Mark Rutte a las 19:00 hora local (17:00 GMT).


theguardian
 

Funci-vago

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APOCALIPSIS jovenlandes
Bruselas......peor que Madrid..........801/100.000 roto2

16:30 cobi19 BÉLGICA | Los nuevos contagios de cobi19 siguen avanzando en Bélgica, que registra ya una incidencia acumulada media de 423 contagios por 100.000 habitantes, y 801 en Bruselas, mientras se multiplican las señales de alarma y van aumentando las restricciones.

lavanguardia.com
Ahí gobierna el PP?
 

eljusticiero

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Caso cercano, amiga de casi 30 que vive en Catalonia, ha tenido sensación de ahogo y tos fuerte varias veces durante su episodio, el último la pasada noche (1 semana tras empezar los síntomas) - le han dicho que fuese al hospital si persistía la situación.

La gripe de todos los años que te deja ahogado con 20 y pico tacos...
 

eljusticiero

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Holanda + 7.400, esta tarde anuncia más restricciones:


2h ago13:59

Los holandeses registran más de 7.000 casos de cobi19 en un nuevo récord diario
Los Países Bajos alcanzaron un nuevo récord en casos diarios de cobi19, alcanzando casi 7,400 infecciones en 24 horas, según mostraron los datos publicados el martes.
Reuters informa que el gobierno se está preparando para anunciar nuevas restricciones sociales en una conferencia de prensa con el primer ministro Mark Rutte a las 19:00 hora local (17:00 GMT).


theguardian
Los interiores no ventilados están haciendo mucho daño (no digo cuarentena, digo reunirte con gente en oficinas, comercios o bares PACO-restaurantes o con la pacofamilia...)
 

manodura79

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Lo primero a ver si te enteras que no es que tenegamos menos casos de UCI es que los reportan siempre tarde, de modo que las dos últimas semanas siempre parece que va para abajo. Muchos científicos lo han denunciado públicamente como burda manipulación para mentes débiles.

Explícame de manera más o menos lógica y científica por qué estas cifras de infectados no deberían traducirse tarde o temprano si no se pone freno a esto en más casos de UCI.

Sin los datos de edad de los infectados eso es papel mojado.

Enviado desde mi RNE-L21 mediante Tapatalk
 

GM:KL&33

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Caso cercano, amiga de casi 30 que vive en Catalonia, ha tenido sensación de ahogo y tos fuerte varias veces durante su episodio, el último la pasada noche (1 semana tras empezar los síntomas) - le han dicho que fuese al hospital si persistía la situación.

La gripe de todos los años que te deja ahogado con 20 y pico tacos...
Oh, hay que renunciar a la
vida propia y entregársela a alguien que nos guíe, por tanto.
El miedo es la mejor droja para el que la vende y la peor para el que la consume.