La teoría de la desfinanciarización

Y dejo esto también aquí, para referencia en el futuro - interesante artículo de Martin Wolf hoy en FT.... atacando a la creación de dinero por parte de bancos privados y a la reserva fraccionaria:

Strip private banks of their power to create money - FT.com
Dejo la mejor parte (quien quiera, puede seguir el link y leer el artículo entero, lo recomiendo encarecidamente):
A maximum response would be to give the state a monopoly on money creation. One of the most important such proposals was in the Chicago Plan, advanced in the 1930s by, among others, a great economist, Irving Fisher. Its core was the requirement for 100 per cent reserves against deposits. Fisher argued that this would greatly reduce business cycles, end bank runs and drastically reduce public debt. A 2012 study by International Monetary Fund staff suggests this plan could work well.
 
Meanwhile in Spain.

¿Adivinas a que sector incrementamos más las subvenciones en 2013?

subvenciones-2013.jpg
 
Los bancos británicos van abandonando, poco a poco, la banca de inversión.
UK retreat from investment banking gathers pace - FT.com
UK retreat from investment banking gathers pace

Last updated: March 3, 2015 6:09 pm

Martin Arnold, Banking Editor
Ross McEwan and Antony Jenkins ©Bloomberg

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RBS CEO Ross McEwan and Barclays' Antony Jenkins

Britain’s retreat from investment banking is set to accelerate as Royal Bank of Scotland aims to slash as many as 14,000 jobs in the sector and Barclays’ chief executive says he has limited patience with the business.

The moves underline how two of the UK’s once mighty global investment banks are facing questions about their future, leaving the country reliant on foreign groups to provide access to capital markets.

“There will come a time when we need liquidity in this country and we won’t have a British broker-dealer so we will have to rely on JPMorgan and that is a problem,” said Chirantan Barua, banking analyst at Bernstein.

RBS refused to say how many jobs would be cut out of the 18,000 people who work for its investment bank as part of a drastic restructuring plan — dubbed Project Brown — it announced last week to shrink the business back to its UK roots.

But two people familiar with the matter said RBS had set a target of cutting as many as four out of five jobs in the unit by 2019, while overhauling the back-office systems to automate them.

A large proportion of the jobs RBS will cut are in the US and Asia. The bank declined to comment.

On Tuesday, Antony Jenkins said his patience would be limited in waiting for a recovery of Barclays investment bank, which overshadowed strong performances from other parts of the group and dragged it to an overall net loss last year.

Pre-tax profits at Barclays investment bank fell almost a third and its return on equity was 2.7 per cent — well below the bank’s target of above 12 per cent.

Mr Jenkins said: “I am not a very patient person . . . We won’t hesitate to optimise the capital allocated to the investment bank, its cost base and its revenues to achieve those [target] returns.”

Investment banking was once a profits engine for Barclays. But it announced plans to shrink the unit and slash costs last May in response to tougher regulatory requirements and a downturn in the business of trading bonds, currencies and commodities.

There have long been rumours that Barclays could spin off or sell its investment bank, which analysts said was better positioned than that of RBS, especially as regulators are forcing it to split its UK and US operations into separately funded entities.

Joseph Dickerson, analyst at Jefferies, said that once John McFarlane took over as Barclays chairman in April, the pressure on the investment bank was expected to increase. “I think they will give it two years from the last strategic review, so until May 2016,” he said.

Bernstein’s Mr Barua said: “They keep threatening to do different things with it, but you can’t list it and you can’t sell it. They are really stuck.”

RBS is reducing risk-weighted assets in its investment bank by two-thirds and quitting 25 of the 38 countries in which it operates, all at a cost of £2.5bn-£3.5bn.

Barclays set aside an extra £750m in the fourth quarter to cover the cost of investigations into suspected manipulation of foreign exchange markets, taking total provisions for the issue to £1.25bn.

The bank also disclosed that it had been providing information to the US Department of Justice for its investigation into potential price fixing in precious metals markets that has ensnared at least 10 banks.

Excluding exceptional costs, pre-tax profits at the bank rose 12 per cent to £5.5bn, beating analyst expectations. But including the “one-off” items, Barclays made a net loss of £174m last year, against a profit of £540m the previous year.

Mr Jenkins collected his first annual bonus since becoming chief executive of the bank in 2012 with a £1.1m award, helping to treble his total pay to £5.5m. The overall bonus pool at Barclays shrank more than a fifth.

Shares in Barclays were 3.2 per cent lower at 254.3p.
 
Yo creo que las ratas saben no que el barco se va a hundir sino que hay fuego en la Santa Barbara...
 
Me parece pronto (hay que esperar a la caída de China, su QE, y una buena transferencia de deuda a Asia antes del sinpa global; y quién sabe, la India podría ser la nueva China y retrasar el colapso otro ciclo de siete - ocho años), pero aquí dejo este artículo - que viene a decir que cuidado, que los bancos centrales pueden dejar de sostener el chiringuito, después de ocho años dándole metadona al yonki, quien no ha dejado la droja, no puede quejarse... y lo curioso es que los yonkis cada vez quieren más, no menos:
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You’ve Been Warned: Central Bankers Turning Less Market-Friendly - Bloomberg Business
You’ve Been Warned: Central Bankers Turning Less Market-Friendly

by Simon Kennedy
June 17, 2015 — 4:47 AM EDT

Some things seem permanent. Greece is fighting for a bailout. A Bush and a Clinton are running for the White House. FIFA is plagued by scandal.

But for those who track the world’s central banks, change is afoot.

Having soothed investors for the past seven years with low interest rates, bond-buying and other interventions aimed at shoring up weak economies, monetary policy makers are slowly stepping out of markets in a variety of ways.

That leaves investors facing renewed bouts of the volatility which marked recent weeks. A record number of investors told Bank of America Merrill Lynch this month that they have taken out protection against falling stocks over the next three months.

“2015 will go down as the year when major central banks hit an inflection point in their willingness to distort and manipulate markets,” said Alan Ruskin, global head of Group of 10 foreign exchange at Deutsche Bank AG in New York. “This mix of overt and subtle withdrawal of market support is a key macro driver of recent increased volatility.”

Behind the switch in stance is the suspicion that markets risk becoming distorted and overly-reliant on policy makers for direction and need weaning off. If the price is a bit of turbulent trading now then so be it.
‘Destabilizing Disequilibria’

There may be a “strategy to accept higher volatility rather than risk even greater shocks further down the road by allowing potentially destabilizing disequilibria to build further,” said Michala Marcussen, global head of economics at Societe Generale SA in London.

The first to implement a major policy shift was the Swiss National Bank, which rocked markets in January by unexpectedly scrapping its three-year policy of capping the franc at 1.20 per euro. The currency is now around 1.05.

Having forced bond yields down and often into negative territory with a 1.1 trillion euro ($1.2 trillion) quantitative-easing program, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is now responding to a sell-off in bonds by telling markets to get used to more volatility and warning low interest rates “may increase the financial stability risk.”

The average yield across the euro region climbed to 1.08 percent on Monday, BofA Merrill Lynch indexes show. That’s more than double a record low of 0.425 percent, reached just three months ago.
Fed Meeting

As for the Bank of Japan, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda last week questioned the yen’s slide to a 13-year low that his stimulus helped facilitate, by saying the currency “is unlikely to weaken further in real effective turns.” While he said on Tuesday that comment wasn’t aimed at influencing the exchange rate, the yen is still higher than a week ago.

Wednesday is the turn of Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen to talk after U.S. policy makers convene in Washington. Haunted by the taper tantrum of 2013, Yellen is nevertheless still trying to pave the way to the first U.S. interest rate increase since 2006, potentially as soon as September. Sounding the alert to investors, she’s already dropped assurances that rates will stay low and said both stocks and bonds are richly valued.

“Yellen has also warned on the topic of financial stability,” said Marcussen. “Indeed, not raising rates also carries risks.”
‘Abnormally Loose’

Not all are concerned central banks are turning their backs on markets. Even as they warned the risk of an equity bubble is as high as 70 percent, Credit Suisse Group AG strategists said in a report last week that policy will remain “abnormally loose.”

The ECB and BOJ are still purchasing bonds and authorities in New Zealand and South Korea last week cut rates even at the potential price of asset-price growth. The Fed is signaling that when it does increase borrowing costs, it will do so gradually.

Still, investors may want to heed last week’s warning from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney if they continue betting on central banks always running to the rescue.

“The possibility of unpredictable changes in market liquidity poses a clear risk to financial stability, particularly when some market participants take liquidity for granted and crowd into trades in anticipation of central bank action,” he said.
 
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