Why Podemos fielded Belarra for the Madrid Assembly and its kiosk owner for city hall
The DYM poll of October 8 gives Podemos 1-2 seats and Sumar 3-5, while PP and Vox together win an absolute majority. The details of the survey.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
The DYM poll of October 8 gives Podemos 2.6% of the vote and between 1 and 2 seats, and Sumar 3.6% and between 3 and 5 seats. The survey also shows that the PSOE would attract voters from its left, while PP and Vox would win an absolute majority.
The **DYM** poll published on **October 8** paints an electoral map with two figures that hurt the left. **Podemos** is left with an estimated **2.6%** of the vote and between **1 and 2 seats**. **Sumar**, its partner in the last general election, rises a little more but is also struggling: **3.6%** and between **3 and 5 seats**. These are figures that, in terms of seats, leave both parties with almost no parliamentary group of their own.
## The seat distribution projected by the poll
At the other end, the **PP** reaches **34.0%** and between **139 and 143 seats**. **Vox** stands at **18.2%** and between **61 and 65 seats**. Added together, they surpass the absolute majority of **176** seats. The **PSOE**, with **28.2%** and between **107 and 111 seats**, would be the second-largest force, but the poll suggests it would attract voters from its left, which would partly explain the decline of Podemos and Sumar.
## Why Podemos's 2.6% matters
A party that governed in coalition and once had **69 seats** in 2015 would now be left with **1 or 2**. That is not just an electoral defeat: it is the practical disappearance of a parliamentary group of its own. The poll also comes with a quality indicator, **PollCheck**, which scores it **6.3 out of 10**. It is not just any survey, but neither is it a definitive picture.
## The context of the regional candidacies
The political reading of these numbers is that Podemos needs to reposition its figures in places where it still has muscle. The **Community of Madrid** and its city councils are the territories being mentioned for this. With **1 or 2 seats** in Congress, the national structure loses its megaphone and any meaningful parliamentary funding. Polls are not ballot boxes, and an October 8 survey closes no doors, but it does set the playing field.
The **DYM** poll published on **October 8** paints an electoral map with two figures that hurt the left. **Podemos** is left with an estimated **2.6%** of the vote and between **1 and 2 seats**. **Sumar**, its partner in the last general election, rises a little more but is also struggling: **3.6%** and between **3 and 5 seats**. These are figures that, in terms of seats, leave both parties with almost no parliamentary group of their own.
## The seat distribution projected by the poll
At the other end, the **PP** reaches **34.0%** and between **139 and 143 seats**. **Vox** stands at **18.2%** and between **61 and 65 seats**. Added together, they surpass the absolute majority of **176** seats. The **PSOE**, with **28.2%** and between **107 and 111 seats**, would be the second-largest force, but the poll suggests it would attract voters from its left, which would partly explain the decline of Podemos and Sumar.
## Why Podemos's 2.6% matters
A party that governed in coalition and once had **69 seats** in 2015 would now be left with **1 or 2**. That is not just an electoral defeat: it is the practical disappearance of a parliamentary group of its own. The poll also comes with a quality indicator, **PollCheck**, which scores it **6.3 out of 10**. It is not just any survey, but neither is it a definitive picture.
## The context of the regional candidacies
The political reading of these numbers is that Podemos needs to reposition its figures in places where it still has muscle. The **Community of Madrid** and its city councils are the territories being mentioned for this. With **1 or 2 seats** in Congress, the national structure loses its megaphone and any meaningful parliamentary funding. Polls are not ballot boxes, and an October 8 survey closes no doors, but it does set the playing field.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (2 replies).
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