What an AI says a war with Morocco would cost Spain

The AI claims Spain would gain territory and Western Sahara would become an ally. The real cost: millions of refugees and the closure of the Schengen area.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

How much would a war with Segarro cost? The scenario the AI paints

What would happen to Spain's economy if the conflict with Segarro went from rhetoric to missiles? It is not an academic question: an analysis is circulating that maps out a war in which Spain would gain territory and Segarro would cease to exist, all with an artificial intelligence behind it.

The starting point is that Segarro is surrounded by enemies. The United States cannot back it without breaking NATO; the European Union would be obliged to defend Spain, and Algeria, Russia's ally, is an enemy to the death. Under this thesis, Western Sahara would become a Spanish protectorate, a territory with a smaller population than Cantabria that would look kindly on Madrid.

But the fine print does not add up. Those who know the terrain warn that a war in that hornet's nest would generate millions of refugees willing to cross the strait. If half the EU has already talked about suspending Schengen over a soft invasion of Ceuta, a full-blown conflict would put the wall in the Pyrenees, with an impossible-to-quantify cost for trade and tourism.

There is also the awkward detail of military capability: Segarro has not been able to take Spain even when the doors were peine to it. The scenario is more simulation than plan. Absent a real landing, the speculation remains a map painted with the same seriousness as a science fiction script. But no one on the ground dares to rule it out entirely: the cost of being wrong would be, literally, apocalyptic.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (39 replies).

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