Trump Announces Tourist Surge in Cuba: Opportunity or Recolonization?
Trump’s announcement to promote tourism in Cuba is not merely a diplomatic move; it is a declaration of geopolitical and economic intent. The island, which in 1959 was one of Spain’s richest provinces, lies today mired in poverty, with collapsed infrastructure and an energy debt that keeps it in darkness. But beneath the rubble, Cuba retains strategic resources: nickel, cobalt, offshore oil, and coveted tourist land. The question is not whether the US wants to enter, but at what price and for whom.
Tourist Land as Plunder
The Cuban diaspora is already rubbing its hands together: buying hotel complexes at bargain prices, managed until now by the Cuban military with poor results due to lack of power. American hotel chains—Marriott, Hilton, Sheraton—see miles of virgin coastline to exploit. But the business is not just tourist; the hotel hinterland requires generators, and there companies like Honda and their Chinese competitors find a gold mine. In Africa, it is already common to see generation equipment in entire buildings.
The Embargo Paradox: Blame or Excuse?
A recurring analysis points out that the US embargo is not the cause of the Cuban disaster. Iran endures harsher sanctions and is not a failed state. Cuba can bypass the blockade through intermediaries but lacks foreign currency to buy. The problem is endogenous: policies that ruined the economy. Meanwhile, Mexico sends 80,000 barrels of oil daily, but Cuba consumes that same amount in one day. Aid is insufficient.
Geopolitics Behind the Curtain
Trump’s move is not isolated: Venezuela, Greenland, and now Cuba. Skeptics see a pattern of soft recolonization, with military bases in the Caribbean and control of strategic resources. Others interpret it as a gesture toward the Hispanic vote in the US, especially the Cuban vote in Florida, which could sway the midterms. But the most critical voices recall that Cuba was already a Yankee backyard before 1959, and that the “order” Trump promises may translate into exploitation of cheap labor and prostitution.
The Question No One Answers
What will happen with current concession rights? It is known that foreign investors can obtain properties through Cuban straw men or 99-year concessions. But legal instability and the threat of new sanctions if the regime falls deter many. The debate leaves the uncertainty open: what model of tourism does the US want for Cuba? Las Vegas or the Maldives? Both, probably, but with a key difference: who keeps the capital gains.
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