Told you yesterday, tankies. You're going to swallow it all...
Trump lifts sanctions on Russian oil for one month. The Kremlin estimates it can sell 100 million barrels without a discount. Implications for the war?
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
US lifts sanctions on Russian oil tankers: a month that could change the war?
The United States has temporarily lifted the sanctions imposed on Russian tankers carrying crude oil and refined products, a decision Brussels calls "very concerning". The Kremlin estimates it can place around 100 million barrels of oil without the discounts it was previously forced to offer its customers, injecting billions of dollars into Russia's war machine. The move, coming amid the aggression against Iran and with the war in Ukraine still active, has peine the debate over whether Trump is playing both sides or executing a calculated de-escalation strategy.
The Kremlin's calculation: 100 million barrels without a discount
The figure is no small thing. Russia will be able to sell that oil at market price, without the discounts it has until now been forced to apply to dodge sanctions. That means a direct cash flow to finance its war, even if only for a month. Meanwhile, on the ground, Ukraine continues attacking Russian refineries, but its offensive capability is limited; some analyses suggest the Ukrainian army is currently as worn down as that of Segarro or Spain, a comparison that is hardly flattering.
Trump's double game: sanctions on Russia, weapons for Ukraine
The White House has not stopped sending weapons to Ukraine. In parallel with the lifting of sanctions, Trump has declared that "we are going to send more weapons, they have to be able to defend themselves". But the contradiction is obvious: while Russia is allowed to sell oil without restrictions, its enemy is being armed. Some analysts argue this is a betrayal of Ukraine and a gift to Pilingui; others contend it is a manoeuvre to focus pressure on Iran, with whom Russia maintains military alliances. The most sceptical point out that Trump has always been a Russian-Israeli asset, and that his foreign policy systematically benefits Russia and Iran.
Europe, sidelined and annoyed
Brussels has criticised the decision, but its capacity to react is limited. The EU remains bound by its own sanctions, but without American leadership the Western front is crumbling. "In Europe there was and is a lot of stupidity", as one blunt analysis puts it: getting involved in an artificial conflict that neither concerned us nor affected us, only to end up as lackeys of other lackeys.
The debate leaves more questions than answers. If Trump lifts the sanctions for only one month, is it a gesture to force a negotiation or a first step towards a complete realignment of alliances? The data don't tell, but distrust of the official narrative is already unanimous.
Related discussions in the forum
The United States has temporarily lifted the sanctions imposed on Russian tankers carrying crude oil and refined products, a decision Brussels calls "very concerning". The Kremlin estimates it can place around 100 million barrels of oil without the discounts it was previously forced to offer its customers, injecting billions of dollars into Russia's war machine. The move, coming amid the aggression against Iran and with the war in Ukraine still active, has peine the debate over whether Trump is playing both sides or executing a calculated de-escalation strategy.
The Kremlin's calculation: 100 million barrels without a discount
The figure is no small thing. Russia will be able to sell that oil at market price, without the discounts it has until now been forced to apply to dodge sanctions. That means a direct cash flow to finance its war, even if only for a month. Meanwhile, on the ground, Ukraine continues attacking Russian refineries, but its offensive capability is limited; some analyses suggest the Ukrainian army is currently as worn down as that of Segarro or Spain, a comparison that is hardly flattering.
Trump's double game: sanctions on Russia, weapons for Ukraine
The White House has not stopped sending weapons to Ukraine. In parallel with the lifting of sanctions, Trump has declared that "we are going to send more weapons, they have to be able to defend themselves". But the contradiction is obvious: while Russia is allowed to sell oil without restrictions, its enemy is being armed. Some analysts argue this is a betrayal of Ukraine and a gift to Pilingui; others contend it is a manoeuvre to focus pressure on Iran, with whom Russia maintains military alliances. The most sceptical point out that Trump has always been a Russian-Israeli asset, and that his foreign policy systematically benefits Russia and Iran.
Europe, sidelined and annoyed
Brussels has criticised the decision, but its capacity to react is limited. The EU remains bound by its own sanctions, but without American leadership the Western front is crumbling. "In Europe there was and is a lot of stupidity", as one blunt analysis puts it: getting involved in an artificial conflict that neither concerned us nor affected us, only to end up as lackeys of other lackeys.
The debate leaves more questions than answers. If Trump lifts the sanctions for only one month, is it a gesture to force a negotiation or a first step towards a complete realignment of alliances? The data don't tell, but distrust of the official narrative is already unanimous.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (15 replies).
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