Three bets to win 100k: an investor's story losing 1M

Three bets to win 100k: chronicle of an investor who lost 1M

There is a breed of investor who boasts not profitability, but flair. They enter early, sell too soon, and then spend months watching the chart of what could have been. This author, starting in January 2020, bluntly defines himself as «a terrible investor» but «a pro» at positioning in assets. His history backs this up: he bought 3,000 shares of NVAX at $4, sold them at $8, and a year later they traded at $300. Translation: $1,000,000 in missed profits. In 2016, he invested $1,000 in 123,000 Dogecoin, sold them for $400 for a PC monitor, and the token reached $0.70.

With this resume, the author proposes three simultaneous bets to reach 100,000€ in each. The first, 10,000 shares of CTIC, a biotech firm he bought at $1 and $2.50, which had a key meeting with the FDA in November. The second, 5,000€ in Riskmoon, renamed DeepSpace (DPS), a crypto that went from a quadrillion tokens to 100 million. The third, 12,000€ in Earth 2, a metaverse promising its own crypto, which the author trinc by conviction more than by profitability.

The pattern of the investor who arrives before the market

This story is not a trading manual. It is the radiograph of a recurring profile: someone capable of detecting assets before they explode, but with a chronic problem holding the position. Dogecoin, Ethereum —he bought 10 at $200 and sold them at $1,000 when they reached $4,000— and NVAX tell the same story three times. The author admits it with humor: «I'm good at entering, exiting a package».

The question hovering over the entire story is whether these three current bets will break the pattern. CTIC had a «D-Day» with the FDA in November, a binary event that could have skyrocketed or sunk it. DPS, after touching $160,000 in November, deflated to $0.02, and the author sold half at $0.40 and the rest at $0.10. Earth 2, the only one still alive, has accumulated 60,000€ invested and a token worth half.

What peine to CTIC and DeepSpace?

CTIC reached $9, brushing the $10 goal that would have yielded 100,000€. The author was already out: the FDA delayed the verdict again, and he could not wait. The company was eventually bought by another and ceased trading. Some argue it was a good entry, although the exit timing was far from optimal.

DPS is the most extreme case. It reached $160,000 in November, three months after the initial post, and then collapsed. The author sold with $40,000 in profit. The community remains divided: some see a dead project, others recall that the Bitcoin halving and BlackRock's entry could revive the market. The author keeps eight ships «just in case».

Earth 2: the project that makes you wait

Earth 2 is the most personal bet. The author seeks not just profitability: he wants to «be part of the project». He has been investing consciously up to 60,000€, including everything taken from DPS. The token, ESS, trades for less than $0.03, and the market cap is around 10 million. The lands generate 500€ per month. The announcement of the crypto, the airdrop to founders, and the agreement with Polygon keep alive the expectation that one day the million will arrive.

The mirror of dying cryptos

The story connects with a collective experience: that of those who invested in projects with impeccable whitepapers and brilliant teams that ended in nothing. The pattern repeats: euphoria, mini crash, surge due to promising news, and disappearance when founders sell. Tron is the most cited example. The warning is clear: without a seeded wallet, the wallet goes to limbo, as peine to the author with 3,800 TOMO.

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With 60,000€ invested in Earth 2 and a token worth half, the author continues to wait. There is no date for the crypto. There is no certainty that the million will arrive. Only the conviction that, this time, he will hold until the end.