Thirty years of flat wages: Spain and Italy, Europe's exceptions

Spain and Italy are the only European countries with wages stuck at 1990s levels. The euro, the housing bubble and tax pressure explain the phenomenon.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Wage stagnation in Spain: thirty lost years alongside Italy

Spain and Italy are the only European countries where real wages have not grown in three decades. The figure, without nuance, points to a structural failure that began with joining the euro. Between 1998 and 2006, Spanish wage growth sank to Mexican levels, according to circulating figures. The construction bubble and the "convergence policies" of Aznar's government --as some recall ironically-- explain part of the mess. But the problem does not end there.

Gross wages in constant dollars have barely changed, and what little they have risen has been eaten up by tax pressure: income tax (IRPF) is not adjusted for inflation, so every nominal raise means a heavier burden. Some point out that "Sanchismo" has started to reverse the trend, while Meloni's Italy keeps falling. Others blame the unions, which only protest when the PP governs, and the drain of Spain's regional governments.

The drag of taxation and housing

The analysis of gross wages is misleading. With inflation eroding purchasing power and income tax (IRPF) brackets not updated, real net pay has been losing ground for decades. Add to this the cost of housing, which during the construction boom diverted any wage gains into mortgage payments.

Two opposing models

The debate is polarized between those who argue that the current socialist government is pulling Spain out of the wage pit --in contrast with conservative Italy-- and those who believe the stagnation is the result of decades of bad policies, regardless of the party in power. The only consensus: the recovery, if it exists, is so slow it is barely noticeable.



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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (38 replies).

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