The Ceuta crisis: Ayuso, Moncloa and the cost of the pull effect
50,000 crossings in Ceuta, 88 deaths and a regularization decree: the blame game between Ayuso and Moncloa over Spain's migration crisis.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Mass arrivals in Ceuta spark blame game between Ayuso and Moncloa
Who is responsible for what peine at the Ceuta border? The answer changes depending on the political side. The debate begins with an accusation against the Madrid regional president, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, but the data point to a decision of national scope: the regularization of migrants approved by decree after Congress rejected it with the votes of PP, Vox and Junts.
Pull effect: the earlier warnings and the outcome at the border
Before the crisis, Alberto Núñez Feijóo called the regularization "reckless" and warned of a "pull effect". Santiago Abascal predicted "drama and death". The figures cited in the analysis vindicate the most pessimistic forecasts: around 50,000 people crossed the border and Ceuta authorities put the number of dead in the morgue at 88.
The official narrative now seeks culprits in Madrid. But the management of the border and of migration policies falls to the central Government, not to the autonomous communities. Ayuso has no authority over Ceuta or over migration flows, something that does not stop her from becoming the target of the exchange of accusations.
Geopolitics and sociology: the levels missing from the debate
Some are calling for a deeper analysis that separates three levels: the geopolitics of the strait, the profile of those entering and Spain's reception policy. The combination of a porous border, benefits such as the IMV (a minimum income scheme) and the path to regularization paints a costly cocktail, even if the political debate is limited to apportioning blame.
The irony of the matter is that all sides agree on one thing: the system failed. As for who should pay the cost, the discussion remains open.
Who is responsible for what peine at the Ceuta border? The answer changes depending on the political side. The debate begins with an accusation against the Madrid regional president, Isabel Díaz Ayuso, but the data point to a decision of national scope: the regularization of migrants approved by decree after Congress rejected it with the votes of PP, Vox and Junts.
Pull effect: the earlier warnings and the outcome at the border
Before the crisis, Alberto Núñez Feijóo called the regularization "reckless" and warned of a "pull effect". Santiago Abascal predicted "drama and death". The figures cited in the analysis vindicate the most pessimistic forecasts: around 50,000 people crossed the border and Ceuta authorities put the number of dead in the morgue at 88.
The official narrative now seeks culprits in Madrid. But the management of the border and of migration policies falls to the central Government, not to the autonomous communities. Ayuso has no authority over Ceuta or over migration flows, something that does not stop her from becoming the target of the exchange of accusations.
Geopolitics and sociology: the levels missing from the debate
Some are calling for a deeper analysis that separates three levels: the geopolitics of the strait, the profile of those entering and Spain's reception policy. The combination of a porous border, benefits such as the IMV (a minimum income scheme) and the path to regularization paints a costly cocktail, even if the political debate is limited to apportioning blame.
The irony of the matter is that all sides agree on one thing: the system failed. As for who should pay the cost, the discussion remains open.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (17 replies).
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