Why bring in workers if there are no jobs? This blunt question opens a forum discussion debunking the most repeated cliché about immigration: that it fills roles locals reject. The starting point is a concrete paradox. In Spain, there is an oversupply of candidates for unskilled jobs while technical trades—builders, electricians, plumbers, locksmiths, and painters—are scarce, as the generation trained during the construction boom nears retirement. Anyone renovating a house knows: finding someone who can do everything is increasingly rare.
The thesis behind this message is uncomfortable for both sides. If the goal were lowering wages, it would work with labor willing to work off the books for minimum pay. But that doesn't explain why specialists remain missing, nor why sectors absorbing migrants are precisely those where salaries have already hit rock bottom. The industrial reserve army needs an army, but here what is missing is something else.
Which trades are missing and why no one fills them
The most repeated diagnosis points to a generational succession problem. The children of those who worked in construction studied degrees—business administration, for example—convinced that a university title was a ticket to a better life. The result is a funnel: an excess of graduates for office jobs and a drought of hands for trades requiring technique. It’s not that Spaniards don’t want to work; it’s that for two decades they were told working with their hands meant failure.
Some argue that foreign workers don’t compete in this niche, but rather in hospitality, intensive agriculture, or delivery, where salaries are already so low they cannot be cut further. The consequence would be forced labor substitution: without these workers, the alternative would have been raising wages in sectors that cannot afford it. The full calculation, broken down by activity branches, leaves a picture far less epic than the official discourse.
The counter-objection is equally simple: if workers were truly needed, it would show in the wages of these trades. And it does not.
The debate shifts: from lowering wages to sustaining prices
The conversation evolves and changes axis. In the first wave of migration, coinciding with the construction boom, the objective was containing labor costs during the bubble. Later, the focus shifted: what is sought is not cheaper labor, but rescuing housing prices. First inflating rents, then dragging up purchase prices. Housing demand grows faster than supply, and the pull effect is no longer generated by employment, but by access to public services and aid.
This narrative has defenders and detractors. The former note that demographic pressure on housing is a measurable fact. The latter respond that confusing cause and effect is the oldest trick in the book: housing rises because nothing is built, not because people arrive.
Do they consume or not?
One of the most repeated arguments in the final part of the exchange concerns consumption. It is claimed that a portion of the migrant population sends income back to their home countries and consumes little locally, breaking the Keynesian logic that more population equals more internal demand. Others reply that this describes a specific profile—temporary workers, without roots—and not the whole group.
The data that confuses everyone: the economy is sustained by debt, and this weak consumption does not compensate for it. If the engine were internal demand, the effect would be different.
The conspiratorial version and its bill
No discussion of this type escapes the conspiracy layer. Theories appear about diluting the population, destroying social cohesion, or replacing natives. There is no evidence supporting these theses, and they are dismissed with irony within the exchange itself. What remains is an uncomfortable fact: migration policy is designed by supranational bodies and economic forums presenting it as a demographic necessity, without anyone fully explaining how it fits with a labor market that does not absorb those already present.
The Italian case as a mirror
Italy approved a flow decree for the entry of temporary and permanent foreign workers due to the shortage of seasonal laborers. It is the same pattern: countries with aging populations opening doors because they cannot find locals willing to do certain jobs. The lingering question is whether this solves the problem or merely postpones it.
Meanwhile, the most honest conclusion is the least epic: technicians are missing, graduates are surplus, and the narrative that this is all about lowering wages falls short. Or runs long. Depending on who you ask.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (152 replies).
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