Housing eats the future: brick takes over everything
The soaring price of housing in Spain has unleashed a wave of concern and fatalism. The latest data on mortgage approvals, with July marking the best figure since 2007 according to Expansión, point to persistent demand that clashes head-on with the scarcity of affordable supply. The situation, far from being a classic speculative bubble, is described as a structural imbalance: more demand than supply, driven by factors such as mass immigration and the purchase of properties by foreigners and remote workers.
Unstoppable demand: mirage or structural reality?
One of the central arguments resonating is the massive arrival of Latin American population, generating unprecedented pressure on the real estate market. Added to this is the interest of retirees and remote workers, often with the ability to pay in cash, seeking Spain's good climate and quality of life. The construction of new housing, it is noted, has been drastically reduced compared to past times, focusing on high-income segments and leaving a gap in affordable supply. The direct consequence is a price increase that pushes out young people and middle-income families.
Mortgages on the rise and uncertain future
The banking sector, far from slowing down, has intensified mortgage lending. July 2025 recorded record figures since 2007, with 8,397 million euros loaned. This dynamic, while reactivating for banks, raises questions about long-term sustainability for buyers. The warning that 30-year mortgages could be an economic trap, leading to a financial "blowout", resonates strongly, suggesting emigration or retirement in cheaper countries as alternatives.
The debate: bubble or paradigm shift?
There is an underlying debate about whether the current situation resembles the 2008 crisis. However, many argue that it is not a traditional bubble, but a fundamental mismatch between supply and demand. The lack of affordable housing construction, combined with a growing population, paints a picture where prices, according to this view, have nowhere to go but up. The question left hanging is whether current policies will manage to redirect this trend or whether, on the contrary, a larger social and economic crisis is brewing.
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