Spain's 1% inflation hides a double-digit real loss

Official figures put the loss of purchasing power at just 1%, but real inflation runs between 10% and 15%. Why don't the numbers add up?

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Official inflation of 1% and the 15% you pay at the supermarket

Official statistics claim that this year's loss of purchasing power amounts to a symbolic 1%. The shopping basket suggests the calculation is off by one zero, or two. While the state's GDP rises, household GDP suffers: the gap between headline macroeconomics and everyday microeconomics has never been so evident.

Some argue that real inflation is running at around 10-15% a year, with peaks of 20% on basic products. The official figure, they say, glosses over a reality felt every week at the supermarket. The question is not whether we are losing purchasing power, but how much and why nobody quantifies it honestly.

Indexation, the measure nobody applies

With inflation devouring wages, income tax brackets (IRPF, Spain's personal income tax) become a hidden tax. That is why part of the economic analysis calls for indexing the tax: adjusting the brackets upward along with prices so the state does not collect more simply because of inflation. It is a recurring proposal in fiscal policy debates, but it still has not materialized.

The result is a system that rewards rising prices: the state collects more, business margins are protected and wages lose out. Until the official figure acknowledges the scale of the problem, the gap between what the numbers say and what you pay at the till will keep growing. Or, as it has been ironically summed up: "anything to protect the margins".

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (10 replies).

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