SocioMétrica Poll: Right-Wing Bloc Secures Absolute Majority with 207 Seats

A recent SocioMétrica poll indicates a potential electoral outcome where the combined seats of the PP and Vox would reach 207, securing them an absolute majority.

## Right-Wing Joins Forces
A SocioMétrica poll published in late May 2024 projects that the People's Party (PP) and Vox would collectively win 207 seats in the Congress of Deputies. This figure surpasses the absolute majority threshold of 176 seats, empowering the right-wing bloc to form a government without needing coalitions with other parties. The PP is projected to win 145 seats, while Vox would secure 62.

## PSOE and Sumar Decline
The same poll forecasts a significant drop for Sumar, which would fall from 31 to 5 deputies. The 603,000 votes lost by Yolanda Díaz's party are largely expected to shift towards the PSOE. According to this projection, the socialist party would decline to 107 seats. Junts would also see a reduction, dropping from 7 to 4 deputies, similar to the PNV, which would fall from 5 to 4 seats.

## Investment Bloc
The results of this poll paint a picture where the investment bloc, comprising parties that supported the current government, would secure only 140 seats. This total falls far short of the majority required to form a government, suggesting a potential stalemate or the necessity for broad post-election agreements if these projections materialize.