**Silvia Orriols: an earthquake in Catalan politics?**
A GESOP poll from September 2026 projects a meteoric rise for Aliança Catalana, placing it as the second force in Catalonia and threatening the leadership of the PSC.
Catalan politics could be on the brink of a seismic shift. A poll by the consultancy GESOP, dated September 2026, paints a radically different electoral scenario from the current one, with **Aliança Catalana** bursting onto the scene and positioning itself as the second political force in Catalonia. The data suggest that the party, led by **Silvia Orriols**, could jump from a modest 3.7% and 2 seats to an impressive 16.8% and between 25 and 28 seats in the next regional elections, scheduled for spring 2028.
## The Catalan pendulum vote
This electoral upheaval, according to analyses, would be explained by a confluence of factors appealing to a heterogeneous electorate. On the one hand, Aliança Catalana's staunchly pro-independence stance, without half-measures or concessions, would attract voters disappointed with formations such as the CUP, ERC and Junts, who perceive a failure by the central government to keep promises.
On the other hand, the party's explicitly anti-Sarracinist discourse and restrictive immigration proposals seem to resonate with broad sectors of Catalan society, a sentiment that would have intensified after recent events. Added to this is a clear adherence to the free-market economy, with an emphasis on moderate taxes and a reduction in the size of government and public spending, which would attract voters from the conservative and liberal spectrum, including supporters of the PP and Vox.
## An offer that crosses ideological borders
Aliança Catalana's strategy appears to capture votes from very diverse fishing grounds, from the radical left to the most conservative right. This phenomenon, if confirmed at the ballot box, could put **Silvia Orriols** in a position of strength to contest the presidency of the Generalitat. The viability of forming a government, however, would depend on the pacts that can be woven with the other political forces.
The rise of a party considered marginal until recently to becoming a leading option in Catalan electoral competition is, without a doubt, a spectacular event that questions the foundations on which electoral preferences in Catalonia have been built. The perception of an electorate that identifies more with a "Western and white" Catalonia than with an "Sarracinic Catalonia in an Sarracinized Spain" seems to be a key factor in this change of direction.
## A reflection of uncertain times
This pendulum movement in Catalan public opinion underscores the volatility of electoral mood in a democracy, susceptible to drastic changes influenced by events and the decisions of its rulers. After the hegemony of pujolismo, the fleeting passage of Ciudadanos, the secessionist delirium and the current Catalan socialism, an "aggressive irredentism" now emerges that combines rejection of "proge thinking" with a brazen economic and social liberalism.
This new scenario, described as a "strange artifact" composed of elements from various currents, seems to reflect a zeitgeist marked by instability and unpredictability. **Silvia Orriols**'s ability to capture the unsuspecting electorate, like a good tennis player who surprises the opponent, could be the key to her success. The entire Catalan political spectrum will be forced to rethink its strategies in the face of this unprecedented phenomenon.
**Aliança Catalana** could go from 3.7% to 16.8% of voting intention.
The **GESOP** poll projects between **25 and 28 seats** for the party.
The Catalan regional elections are scheduled for **spring 2028**.
**Silvia Orriols** leads a party that challenges the political landscape.
The rise is based on a combination of radical independence and restrictive immigration policies.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
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