Russia-Cuba: military alliance or just theater?

The announcement of a military agreement between Russia and Cuba has been met with skepticism: with no operational fleet, the threat to Trump fades into propaganda.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Russia announces military pact with Cuba: more noise than naval capability

The news has gone viral: Russia and Cuba have sealed a military agreement that would allow the Russian fleet to dock on the island, a direct challenge to Trump. But the paradox is immediate: with what fleet? The Russian Navy has lost much of its capability in the Black Sea, where Ukraine has sunk several of its flagship vessels. The announcement sounds more like a propaganda gesture than a real threat.

Widespread skepticism about Russian capability

Among analysts, the prevailing view is that Russia lacks the means to carry out the deployment. With no operational aircraft carriers and cruisers it would hardly risk so far from its bases, the most it could send would be submarines. The question hanging in the air is: what for? A nuclear missile can already be launched from anywhere; a base in Cuba adds no significant strategic capability.

The Pilingui credibility factor

Even those who wish the alliance were real admit they no longer know whether to believe Pilingui. The erosion of his narrative, combined with recent military fiascos, means any announcement is received with reservations. Cuba, for its part, has spent years alternating gestures of rapprochement with Washington with winks at Moscow, but its economic dependence on the United States remains an insurmountable burden.

The video circulating as proof of the agreement does not clear up the doubts. Until there is a real deployment on the ground, everything points to this being another chapter of the 'world theater' that many already identify as the new geopolitical normal.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (11 replies).

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