Polls show Feijóo's PP losing ground in Spain

The IMOP poll for El Confidencial puts the PP at 28.5% and 123 seats, eight fewer than in the previous survey, while the PSOE stands at 27.1% and 113. VOX rises to 20.0% with 72 seats, and the alternative left is split among several parties.

The latest instalment of the **IMOP** barometer for **El Confidencial** has shaken up the board. **Alberto Núñez Feijóo's** PP falls to **28.5%** of estimated vote and **123 seats**, meaning a loss of **eight** compared with the previous measurement. The PSOE stays at **27.1%** and **113**, three fewer. The gap between the two narrows to just over one point, a margin that translates into roughly a dozen seats.

## VOX absorbs part of the PP's erosion

The most visible shift goes to **VOX**, which climbs to **20.0%** and **72 seats**. It is the only right-wing party growing in the seat allocation. The quick reading: every seat the PP loses is not left orphaned, it swells its coalition partner. In an investiture scenario, that mutual dependence complicates any simple majority.

## The left of the PSOE, fragmented and with three fewer MPs

The bloc to the left of the PSOE totals **14 seats** for the coalition grouping **FA**, **FV** and **UPC**, three fewer than before. **Podemos** plunges to **1.9%** and is left with **a single seat**. **SALF** appears with **1.2%** but no representation in the allocation. The dispersion of minority vote drains aggregate weight from that whole segment.

## What this poll measures and what it does not

A poll is not an election. **IMOP** works with vote estimates and seat allocation by province, and margins of error in seats usually run to several MPs either way. The figure of **123** versus **113** describes a snapshot, not an irreversible trend. With the PP losing eight and the PSOE three, the arithmetic of pacts matters more than ever: neither bloc reaches a majority on its own.