Middle East War: Who Profits and Who Pays
Economic analysis of the Iran escalation: petrodollar, China containment, and military-industrial complex gains. The data CNN ignores.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Middle East War: The Three Industries That Win
The military escalation in Iran is not a miscalculation. Every time tension rises in the Middle East, the world rushes to buy US Treasury bonds and dollars. This is the heating system of the petrodollar. But that ship sailed years ago: Saudi Arabia has been selling crude oil to China in yuan since 2022. The threat over Hormuz serves to justify military deployment and spike the risk premium, where investment funds reap real profits.
War's Triple Dividend
The calculation is cold. Those pulling the strings in Washington have three clear objectives: reaffirm the petrodollar, contain China, and guarantee business for the military-industrial complex. A region in flames disables the Silk Road and delays by years the geopolitical project of the only serious rival. Meanwhile, factories producing Patriot missiles and F-35s do not stop. Shares of Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon have risen between 25% and 40% since war drums began beating against Iran.
Others Bear the Risk, Returns Are Infinite
The discredit falls on CNN journalists and war correspondents. The average citizen in Kansas cares little about the New York Times; they watch gas prices and whether their son returns in a coffin. As long as the former remains manageable and the latter statistically low, the equation works. Losing a ship like the USS Cole has peine before. A couple dozen casualties in a distant conflict are just KIA entries in a column. The question is the answer: when others bear the risk, profitability is infinite.
Views clash. Some argue the strategy aims to sink Europe to impose a new monetary system. Others see the US as a puppet of Israel, or of international Zionism. But there is consensus: war is always good business for the same people, while ordinary citizens pay the price. The full calculation, broken down item by item, shows that elite benefits far exceed costs.
With the death of the top Shia religious leader during Ramadan, the hornet's nest is more agitated than ever. Jihad is already preparing. And while tanks roll, Wall Street toasts.
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The military escalation in Iran is not a miscalculation. Every time tension rises in the Middle East, the world rushes to buy US Treasury bonds and dollars. This is the heating system of the petrodollar. But that ship sailed years ago: Saudi Arabia has been selling crude oil to China in yuan since 2022. The threat over Hormuz serves to justify military deployment and spike the risk premium, where investment funds reap real profits.
War's Triple Dividend
The calculation is cold. Those pulling the strings in Washington have three clear objectives: reaffirm the petrodollar, contain China, and guarantee business for the military-industrial complex. A region in flames disables the Silk Road and delays by years the geopolitical project of the only serious rival. Meanwhile, factories producing Patriot missiles and F-35s do not stop. Shares of Northrop Grumman, Lockheed Martin, and Raytheon have risen between 25% and 40% since war drums began beating against Iran.
Others Bear the Risk, Returns Are Infinite
The discredit falls on CNN journalists and war correspondents. The average citizen in Kansas cares little about the New York Times; they watch gas prices and whether their son returns in a coffin. As long as the former remains manageable and the latter statistically low, the equation works. Losing a ship like the USS Cole has peine before. A couple dozen casualties in a distant conflict are just KIA entries in a column. The question is the answer: when others bear the risk, profitability is infinite.
Views clash. Some argue the strategy aims to sink Europe to impose a new monetary system. Others see the US as a puppet of Israel, or of international Zionism. But there is consensus: war is always good business for the same people, while ordinary citizens pay the price. The full calculation, broken down item by item, shows that elite benefits far exceed costs.
With the death of the top Shia religious leader during Ramadan, the hornet's nest is more agitated than ever. Jihad is already preparing. And while tanks roll, Wall Street toasts.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (108 replies).
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