Olona ends campaign in Almanjayar, defining her political bet
Macarena Olona, former Vox deputy and now candidate for her own party, has chosen Almanjayar (Granada) to watch the election results with her senior team. The neighborhood, often compared to Seville's Tres Mil Viviendas or Cañada Real, embodies a campaign pivoting toward low-income voters and peripheral areas. The scene, antiestéticaturing the party's number two—Yoni, an evangelical pastor—alongside her, sparked various interpretations: from those seeing a move to weaken Vox to suspicions that she seeks a Granada seat via groups who traditionally wouldn't support her.
What Almanjayar means for Granada's electoral map
Almanjayar is a peripheral Granada district with harsh socioeconomic realities described without euphemisms: underground economy, drug trafficking, and a population that, according to reports, rarely votes right-wing. The comparison with Seville's Tres Mil Viviendas is intentional. It is an area where the PSOE historically wins large majorities, offering little opportunity for a corruption-fighting candidate without tangible material incentives.
The debate suggests a cold calculation: if Olona mobilized specific groups—cited figures range from 500,000 to 730,000 depending on the source—she might win seats. However, arithmetic clashes with geography. Granada elects seven deputies; polls predict two safe seats for PP, two for PSOE, and one for Vox. The remaining two are contested between PP and Sumar, which gathered about 67,000 votes in 2019 under Podemos and Más País labels. From this baseline, Olona faces an uphill battle for a seat.
Marginalized neighborhoods' vote isn't a homogeneous block
Discussion quickly turns to the uncomfortable topic of targeting specific demographics. Some argue Roma communities mostly vote PSOE in these areas and won't back a candidate offering no concrete benefits. Others note low-income voters aren't monolithic, with abstention being their main weapon. The recurring conclusion: without direct transfers—jobs, subsidies, etc.—votes don't shift.
The material includes an anecdote highlighting this issue. An Almanjayar resident reportedly said Roma people didn't want handouts but jobs. If Olona promises work in a neighborhood where formal employment is scarce, the irony is obvious: she risks leaving empty-handed. In this sense, the campaign resembles performance art more than electoral strategy.
The wear-and-tear hypothesis: Who really benefits?
A common reading is that Olona competes not to win, but to subtract. The thesis: every point taken from Vox weakens the right, benefiting the left. Some suggest external funding aimed at damaging Vox—mentioning Mario Conde without proof—while others attribute it to personal marketing.
Olona's recent trajectory invites interpretation. Her exit from Vox after Andalusian setbacks and shift to neighborhood-focused rhetoric seem like desperate media seeking. The lingering question: what future awaits a State Attorney who turned politics into spectacle? She stated that without a seat, she returns to the State Legal Service.
Ridicule as strategy and the limits of caricature
Comparisons with Ciudadanos are inevitable. Many claim Olona surpassed the orange party's absurdity, entering territory where reality exceeds fiction. She is likened to quinqui film characters, Torrente, or a caricature of herself. The underlying question: how long can a candidacy survive on absurdity?
Olona's problem isn't just voters; it's credibility. A State Attorney promising to end corruption while choosing a neighborhood defined by informal economy sends mixed signals. Potential supporters—divorced women, middle classes, disillusioned right-wingers—don't identify with this setting. Locals see her not as a solution, but as a tourist.
The confusing data point: In 2019, Podemos and Más País totaled about 67,000 votes in Granada. With that floor, the seat Olona needs isn't in Almanjayar. It's elsewhere. And finding it seems unlikely.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (118 replies).
Macarena Olona founds Caminando Juntos, a republican party, following the announcement of the July 23 elections. Political calculation or personal shift?