If Pedro Sánchez refuses to call a snap election: the possible scenarios

The Ceuta and Valencia crises have reignited the debate: can Spain's prime minister avoid the ballot box? His arguments, EU pressure and the calendar.

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

Can Sánchez hold out without calling an election?

The Ceuta crisis and the reported abandonment of Valencia have pushed political tension to the limit. In this context, the question circulating insistently is whether Pedro Sánchez will call a snap election in Spain or let the legislature run its course. The government's argument, echoed by part of the political analysis, is that conditions are not right for a vote with society so polarised and judicial investigations still open. But seen from the other side, that is exactly the perfect excuse not to call one.

Some point out that a "full year" separates the country from the next electoral cycle, and that the prime minister could use the instability to entrench himself. Others see a more prosaic outcome: after Christmas, if street and Brussels pressure mounts, the electoral calendar would be brought forward through the back door. Comparisons with the past keep surfacing: the propaganda machine portraying Sánchez as a "tyrant on a God-like level" and the shadow of Franco looming over the debate.

By contrast, a minority argues that the only way forward is for the European Union to cut off the financial tap and force change. For now, the calendar remains sealed and the excuses are in perfect working order. The prime minister may be in no hurry; the question is whether the street and the courts will demand one.

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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (19 replies).

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