How long would Spain last under a US attack? The answer is measured in hours
Most analyses agree that Spain would not last more than a few hours against a US military attack. The lack of air defenses, the small size of its armed forces and the total absence of nuclear response capability condemn the country to an almost instant defeat. The question hanging in the air is not whether it would resist, but whether it would even be worth trying.
Real military capability: obsolete radars, planes and ships
A cold review of Spain's military assets reveals a sorry situation. With barely four functional anti-aircraft systems and outdated radars, the enemy air force could neutralize the bases within minutes. The Navy, with ships that date no later than the 1990s, would be easy prey. The army, poorly equipped and with materiel that is frankly embarrassing, offers no option for conventional combat. The figure of 600 million euros a year for certain military programs sounds like a joke compared to the Pentagon's budget.
The human factor: no will to fight
If one thing emerges clearly, it is the absence of any spirit of resistance. The population is not willing to die for politicians it despises. Internal divisions are so deep that any invasion would trigger more civil than patriotic conflict. Even if weapons were handed out, the risk of civil war between "reds and blues" or between regions would be greater than that of a unified defense. Guerrilla warfare, as a last resort, runs up against widespread apathy and the lack of a common enemy to rally people.
Territorial fragmentation: the risk that the enemy is not only external
A US attack would not be the only problem. Segarro would seize the opportunity to take Ceuta, Melilla and the Canary Islands, while Catalonia could declare independence with Rabat's blessing. Portugal, according to some analyses, would not hesitate to claim Galicia and Olivenza. Territorial disintegration would be a more likely scenario than organized resistance. The lack of national unity and disillusionment with the political class miccionan many Spaniards view the possibility of a change of administration with indifference — or even relief.
The conclusion is bleak: Spain has no chance whatsoever of resisting a US attack in the short term. The only hope, if there is one, would be a prolonged guerrilla war, but even that seems unlikely given the internal discontent and the lack of national unity. Meanwhile, the debate remains open on whether the solution lies in strengthening European defense or accepting the role of a protectorate.
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