Grupo San José: cash worth double the share price and land worth more than the stock

Grupo San José trades at €3.93 but holds €6.34 per share in cash. It also owns 10% of Madrid Nuevo Norte. Is it the biggest bargain on the Spanish stock market?

English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published

San José: when the cash is worth more than the share and the land goes unpriced

Spanish construction firm Grupo San José trades at €3.93. It has €412 million in cash, which works out at €6.34 per share. Net cash is €296 million (€4.55 per share). On that alone, the share should be worth more than €4.55. On top of that, it owns 10% of Madrid Nuevo Norte, an urban development project valued at €150-200 million, plus land in Buenos Aires and a listed subsidiary in Argentina. Its market capitalisation is a mere €258 million. An investor buying the whole company would get the operating business for free — and would even be paid to take it.

The value of the hidden assets

The sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis circulating among value investors breaks the company down into six blocks. The operating construction and engineering business is valued at €400 million (5x EBITDA). Net cash adds up to €438 million. The Madrid Nuevo Norte land, at appraisal value, comes to around €150 million. The Argentine subsidiary Carlos Casado (52%) is worth €36 million. Adding it all up, net asset value exceeds €1 billion, against a market capitalisation of €371 million at €5.68. Investor Francisco García Paramés has taken a position in the stock, according to market commentary, and claims that the Madrid Nuevo Norte land alone is worth more than the entire company.

The risks raised by the sceptics

It's not all rosy. The balance sheet shows €463 million in receivables, a line item that has been growing and could cause problems if not collected on time. The P/E is above 12, with no significant dividends or share buybacks, so the market doesn't reward it with high multiples. Net debt to EBITDA is around 4x, well above competitors like ACS or FCC. Operating margin has fallen from 12% to 5% in seven years. And the share price is subject to heavy manipulation: sell orders of 80,000 shares pinned at €8 have been spotted to cap the rise, suggesting there are hands with an interest in keeping the price low.

Price evolution: from €3.93 to €9 in two years

The thread starts in 2023 with the share at €3.93. In 2024, after reporting net profit of €32 million (up 51% year on year), the stock topped €6. In early 2025, it reached €7, then €8, and finally broke through €9. The 2024 results showed net cash of €373 million, EBITDA of €74 million and an order book of €3,188 million. Anyone who bought at €3.93 has doubled their money, but the stock's defenders argue there is still upside until the market correctly prices in the property assets.

Manipulation and technical barriers

The share has hit very firm resistance at €8, where massive sell orders appeared (98,000 shares at one point). Bulls claim it is a "caretaker" trying to hold back the rise in order to accumulate at low prices. Once that barrier was broken on volume, the stock soared to €9. However, the skewed structure of the Spanish stock market, with little liquidity in small caps, makes this kind of manipulation easier.

Is San José the biggest bargain on the Spanish stock market? The numbers suggest it might be, but the company's history — with accumulated losses of €800 million in the past — is a reminder that nothing on the stock market comes free. The question remains open: when will the market start paying for what is already on the balance sheet?

Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (63 replies).

More summaries

All summaries in English →

-
Back