France: the far right advances at the ballot box, the ethnic left conquers the suburbs
Le Penism has gone from 827 councillors to 3,425 in the latest French municipal elections. Polls already show Jordan Bardella winning the 2027 presidential election. But at the same time, in cities that the multicultural left (LFI) has taken from the right and the Socialist Party, post-election scenes of violence are unfolding: white mayors humiliated by crowds waving Palestinian and Algerian flags, and purges of opposition municipal staff.
The unstoppable rise of Marine Le Pen (and Bardella)
The Rassemblement National (RN) has quadrupled its municipal representation: from 827 to 3,425 councillors. The de-demonization strategy is working. Presidential polls place Bardella as the favourite for 2027, although second-round arithmetic could still block him if the left unifies. But demographic trends play in his favour: the native birth rate remains below replacement level (1.5 children per woman), while 34.2% of births are to foreign mothers, a figure that soars to 60% in the Paris region.
Mayoralties lost to the Republic
While the nationalist right advances in the rural heartland, the large metropolitan peripheries are falling into the hands of a left that is no longer the left of laïcité. In Saint-Denis, the new mayor Bally Bagayoko (LFI) announced a purge of municipal employees who supported the opposition. In Creil, Omar Yaqoob won the mayoralty and thanked "all the Pakistanis" in his speech, with mentions of Allah. In Goussainville, the re-elected mayor's brother was arrested for stabbing an opponent. These are not isolated cases: viral videos show defeated mayors being escorted by police while a crowd insults and chases them.
The tacit pact of the establishment parties
Behind this duality lies a de facto alliance: the left imports voters (immigrants and their descendants) to win local elections; the right uses that immigration as cheap labour to fuel consumption. Both push the same globalist economic model. The result: a country split in two, where "lost" cities become irreversible while the rest of the country turns to the right. The political pendulum is moving, but the demographic data suggest the final balance could be the end of traditional France.
The open question is whether the political forces still have any room to reverse the drift or whether the replacement is already a fait accompli. France's history is being written on two diverging tracks: that of the ballot box and that of the cradle.
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