You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly. You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Curiosities of a manipulated economy
Large companies post record profits while the ECB tolerates public debt above 100% of GDP. What lies behind that gap and what is expected from Brussels.
Record profits at large companies do not reach the real economy because they are concentrated in a few firms and global markets, not in wages. The ECB tolerates public debt above 100% of GDP because removing that cushion would trigger a recession worse than the imbalance itself.
The gap between big companies' results and everyday life is no mystery. The firms posting records tend to be multinationals that bill around the world, not in the neighborhood. Their profit rises when the price of what they sell goes up, even if the wages of those who buy it stay flat.
## Record profits that never reach your pocket
A company can earn more by charging higher prices, not by selling more. That extra margin comes out of the consumer's pocket, the same consumer who then sees no improvement in their paycheck. The result is celebrated on the stock market, not in the kitchen.
Concentration makes the effect worse. When a few companies dominate a sector, they can raise prices without losing customers. The record profit is real, but it stays within a narrow circle of shareholders and executives.
## Public debt above 100% of GDP
The **European Central Bank** tolerates countries like **Spain** exceeding **100% debt-to-GDP** because forcing a sudden adjustment would sink economic activity. If the state cuts spending abruptly, spending falls, revenues fall, and the debt burden grows even heavier.
This leniency is not a favor: it is a way of buying time. The ECB bought sovereign debt for years to keep interest rates low. Withdrawing that support without a safety net would be more dangerous than living with the imbalance.
## What Brussels will do with the next government
Brussels does not give direct orders to an elected government, but it sets fiscal rules that constrain its room for maneuver. European rules require reducing debt and deficit, and compliance is negotiated, not imposed by decree.
A government can choose between adjusting public spending or continuing to borrow. If it keeps borrowing, the real limit is the cost of interest. The purpose is no secret: to sustain the system while growth is pursued.
## Migration and population: a debate with mixed data
The debate on population in **France**, **Spain**, **Portugal** and **Italy** mixes demographic data with opinions. Birth rates are falling across Europe and migration offsets part of the aging, but its effect on wages and services is uneven.
Blaming all economic problems on population is a shortcut with no evidence behind it. Studies show mixed impacts depending on the sector and the territory. Any decision about money or fiscal policy should be discussed with a professional.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (3 replies).
Pension spending in Spain avoids triggering the MEI's automatic cuts by just three tenths of a point, while the State lends Social Security 10 billion euros to pay the Christmas bonus.
The viral claim of a Russian accent in the train crash recordings hides what really matters: improvised, protocol-free communications and a 'proceed at normal speed' order read off a screen.