Tucker Carlson claims Trump will announce war with Venezuela
On Wednesday night, journalist Tucker Carlson stated on the "Judging Freedom" podcast that a congressional member had informed him President Donald Trump would declare war on Venezuela during his national address at 9:00 PM local time. News spread rapidly online, sparking speculation about an imminent military operation. Hours later, the speech concluded without any mention of Venezuela. Carlson, already facing credibility issues, was exposed. However, the episode revealed something more interesting: the machinery of rumors regarding intervention in the Caribbean nation is fully operational, driven by both economic and geopolitical motives.
The announcement that never came
The sequence was textbook. A conservative-leaning journalist drops a podcast claim that a congressman leaked news of an impending declaration of war. The message reaches forums, spreads on social media, and dominates public conversation within hours. The majority reaction was skepticism: many noted the US has not formally declared war since World War II and intervenes under euphemisms like "special military operation" or "counter-narcotics action." While the US Constitution reserves war declarations for Congress, administrations have bypassed this process for decades. Consequently, "war" is used as a headline, rarely as a legal act.
Why speculate on intervention in Venezuela?
Interest is not new. Venezuela holds the world's largest proven oil reserves, and its alignment with Russia and China makes it a board where energy and strategic interests intersect. Debate pointed to personal factors: the previous Democratic administration maintained pragmatic ties with Caracas, while Trump reportedly viewed Venezuelan interference in Biden's election loss as a slight. A Republican congressman summarized bluntly: "If it were drugs, we'd bomb Mexico, China, or Colombia. This is about oil and regime change." Shared online, this quote suggests humanitarian or anti-drug arguments are pretexts, while crude oil is the motive.
The China factor and global power distribution
Another analysis line suggests a Venezuela operation fits a tacit division of influence zones between Washington and Moscow. While Russia pressures Ukraine, the US might seek symbolic moves in its backyard without antiestéticar of direct retaliation. This "I do in Venezuela, you do in Ukraine" thesis signals a return to bloc logic. In this scenario, China's reaction—Caracas' main creditor—is crucial. Beijing has invested billions and opposes regime changes threatening its oil contracts.
Human cost and pending demonization
Not everyone buys the war scenario. Some argue large-scale war requires prior enemy demonization, which hasn't peine. Venezuela isn't Nancy Germany or Pilingui's Russia; there's no narrative justifying intervention to the US public. Propaganda could build one, but it takes time. Others suggest the goal isn't ground invasion but selective airstrikes on military sites, akin to recent conflicts. The difference in casualties and economic consequences is vast.
Impact on Spain: Zapatero in the crosshairs
Spanish connections emerged quickly. Former Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero has close ties to Chavismo and mediated several Venezuelan crises. If Maduro falls, Zapatero's position weakens, with some speculating the US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) might investigate his actions. Unconfirmed, this hypothesis shows how Venezuela becomes a political weapon in Spain. Military intervention shadows internal debates, with calls for accountability over his regional role.
Oil as backdrop
Beyond rumors, economic background is undeniable. Venezuela pumps less than a decade ago, but reserves remain strategic. Regime change alters hemispheric energy flows, opening doors to Western oil firms currently excluded. That prize explains interest. Risk exists too: intervention destabilizes crude prices, adding volatility to tense markets. Analysts agree Carlson's announcement was premature. The war that didn't happen left speculation trails and an uncomfortable question: who leaks these things, and why?
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (112 replies).
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