BlackRock upbeat but markets brace for the big bust

BlackRock is optimistic, but the market smells a 'big bust'

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink told CNBC that excessive Bitcoin leverage has been flushed out and that market stability has improved. He is very optimistic about the next 12 months, predicting that the technological revolution will boost corporate margins. However, the shadow of a "big bust" looms over the investment rumor mill. The whale metaphor — large holders who trigger the stampede — resonates among those who have been warning of a collapse for four years without success. «It has to happen at some point», they say, but the timing remains a mystery.

The doomsayers' refrain: four years of failed predictions

Warnings of an imminent crash are nothing new. They have been repeated at a rate of two or three threads a month for four years. So far, the market has ignored the prophets of the stock market apocalypse. The skepticism is palpable: some investors note with irony that the warning came the same day Fink himself was expressing confidence. «I hope it drops to hell so I can put my 30,000 euros into the MSCI World», sums up the divide between the desire for opportunity and the antiestéticar of a collapse.

Flash crash and record highs: the double-edged sword of 2025

Some are betting on a flash crash — similar to Iran's 2020 attempt — trinc by new highs before the year ends. The key would lie in the whale stampede, which could trigger a cascade of liquidations. But while some see the bust just around the corner, others point out that the press needs to sell and that record highs tend to arrive precisely when the wolf is being cried loudest.

With inflation under control and interest rates at elevated levels, the outlook is uncertain. The only certainty is that, for now, the market keeps dancing to the tune of Fink and the whales. When will the bust sound? Nobody knows, but the debate is on.

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This analysis is based on forum discussions and does not constitute financial advice.