Bitcoin trades near $13,100 after a 12% daily jump, fueling arguments about an imminent correction, Tether stability, and trading volumes exceeding $16 billion.
Bitcoin crosses $13,000 with a 12% surge in a single day
Bitcoin trades around $13,100 after registering a 12% gain in one day. For those who saw it at $5,000 and considered it a milestone, the real benchmark is different: in April 2010, the currency was worth $0.003. Seven years later, the question on every table is not how much it rises, but when it corrects. And the correction appeared early: a later reference from the same day shows Bitcoin at $14,122 with a 14.94% pullback. Here begins the disagreement, and it does not end.
From $0.003 to $13,000 in seven years
The historical series calms no one. In April 2010, one Bitcoin was worth $0.003; in November, it traded at $8,100, and a month later, it was already at $13,000. The monthly jump exceeds 50% and explains why the collective nervous system is tense. This path mirrors those who watched it jump from $4 to $10 in its early days and thought they had arrived too late. History repeats itself, albeit with an extra zero each time.
The human detail comes from someone who received two Bitcoins as a gift and now discovers they are worth €133. Their stated goal is for the total market capitalization to reach a round number to break ten thousand. In other words: no one talks about the technology; everyone talks about the exit.
Can you pay for anything with Bitcoin?
Little, and less every day. Steam stopped accepting it as a payment method due to its high volatility, exposing the central contradiction: a currency that revalues by triple-digit percentages is useless for buying coffee, because no one spends an asset worth more tomorrow.
The consequence is what the most critical reading suggests. You enter, wait, and exit to recover fiat currency, precisely what you sought to escape. The original essence—peer-to-peer payments without intermediaries or bank fees—hangs in the air, along with the project's ideological alibi.
Tether and the $30 million created daily
Here lies, for many, the true core. Bitcoin's valuation assumes one Tether equals one dollar, but its real value will only be confirmed when the market heads for the exit. Then, this analysis argues, it may be a fraction of a dollar with several zeros to the right.
The issuance rate, 30,000,000 Tethers created daily out of thin air, is described as silent hyperinflation. If this equivalence breaks, the reference price for the entire market breaks with it. The comparison launched in the thread is the false equivalence between the Argentine peso and the dollar.
16 billion daily: the volume argument
The discussion becomes arithmetic. The 24-hour trading volume is around $16 billion; the Bank of Santander moves about $40 million on a normal day, and the Dow Jones as a whole, about $500 million. With these numbers, arguing that the market is nonsense is difficult.
The rebuttal is also numerical. Dividing $16 billion by a $16,000 price yields one million coins out of the nearly 17 million issued, 7% of the total moving at maximum prices. The discrepancy over this percentage—some raise it, others rebut it—portrays the tone of the matter better than any chart.
The underlying criticism is different. Market capitalization is calculated by valuing the 17 million coins at the last sold price, when only a small fraction trades daily. It is the argument of a warehouse full of bicycles where only four in the window are sold: the rest mark a price no one has ever paid.
Gold, stamps, and tulips: the unclosed comparison
Stamps, tulips, and pyramid schemes appear again and again. The classic analogy: collectors saw their albums trade in an opaque market until the appraising societies went bankrupt. The defense is that the stamp did not lose value; someone simply set an unrealistic price.
With gold, it is the usual argument. It is argued that its value depends on no counterparty and that for it to disappear, humanity must cease to exist. The other side responds that value is a human construct and that Bitcoin has a virtue gold lacks: transporting huge quantities from one country to another without anyone being able to stop it. The collapse of Mt. Gox barely moved the price for a few weeks, they recall.
The point where the analysis stalls is always the same. An asset can have value due to scarcity and lack it if no one accepts it. And the day governments decide to intervene in exchanges, the account resets.
With 7% of the coins moving 100% of the price, no one has yet explained what remains standing the day that 7% wants to exit at once.
Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication.
Read the full discussion (211 replies).
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