Andalusia's Moreno heads to investiture on 29 and 30 with no Vox deal
Moreno Bonilla stands for investiture in Andalusia without a pact with Vox. Blockade or a fresh election? The calendar points to a vote on 25 October.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Moreno faces investiture without Vox: is a repeat election calculated?
The president of the Regional Government of Andalusia, Juan Manuel Moreno, will attend the investiture session on 29 and 30 June without having reached an agreement with Vox. The question hanging in the air is whether he will secure the votes or whether, as the analysis suggests, the calendar is designed to force a repeat election that would fall on a Sunday.
Moreno needs Vox's support or the left's abstention to be invested. With Vox demanding concessions — such as dismantling the so-called parallel administration — and the PP refusing to strike a deal with the far right, a blockade seems the most likely outcome.
The deadlines are tight: if Moreno fails, a two-month window would open to call new elections, which would fall on 25 October, a Sunday. The date does not seem accidental. In this scenario, Moreno would repeat the melodrama already seen in Extremadura: a regional leader who said she would not pact with Vox and ended up doing so.
The Andalusian PP's strategy carries a risk: treating Vox as a far-right party whose vote is expected without anything in return. Analysts point out that this tactic is either a bet on a repeat election or a miscalculation. Vox, for its part, is playing hardball, knowing the PP may end up swallowing its pride.
In any case, the curtain rises on 29 and 30 June. If there is no deal, Andalusia will return to the polls in October, with the political and economic cost that entails.
The president of the Regional Government of Andalusia, Juan Manuel Moreno, will attend the investiture session on 29 and 30 June without having reached an agreement with Vox. The question hanging in the air is whether he will secure the votes or whether, as the analysis suggests, the calendar is designed to force a repeat election that would fall on a Sunday.
Moreno needs Vox's support or the left's abstention to be invested. With Vox demanding concessions — such as dismantling the so-called parallel administration — and the PP refusing to strike a deal with the far right, a blockade seems the most likely outcome.
The deadlines are tight: if Moreno fails, a two-month window would open to call new elections, which would fall on 25 October, a Sunday. The date does not seem accidental. In this scenario, Moreno would repeat the melodrama already seen in Extremadura: a regional leader who said she would not pact with Vox and ended up doing so.
The Andalusian PP's strategy carries a risk: treating Vox as a far-right party whose vote is expected without anything in return. Analysts point out that this tactic is either a bet on a repeat election or a miscalculation. Vox, for its part, is playing hardball, knowing the PP may end up swallowing its pride.
In any case, the curtain rises on 29 and 30 June. If there is no deal, Andalusia will return to the polls in October, with the political and economic cost that entails.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (27 replies).
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