AI could make most of us obsolete sooner than expected
AI could make most people redundant faster than expected: universal basic income with expiring money, or war? An analysis of the debate on the future of employment.
English · Original discussion in Spanish · Published
Will AI make us obsolete? The dilemma of basic income and expiring money
Artificial intelligence creates a feedback loop that could make most of the population redundant in less time than expected, according to a recurring analysis. The proposed solution: a universal basic income funded with expiring digital money to control inflation. Or, as an alternative, a war that cuts the population in half.
The exponential AI loop
The core argument starts from exponential acceleration: AI improves technology, which in turn improves AI, shortening the cycles. This process would make humans increasingly unnecessary in the labour market. The inevitable consequence would be the introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) through central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) with expiring money, to avoid runaway inflation.
Scepticism and realism
Against this view, others point out that AI is still immature and that in about two years we will see a pause in job replacement. The argument is that after the first wave of layoffs, problems will arise that force companies to rehire staff. The replacement will be gradual and partial, not immediate. Some even compare it to the arrival of the internet: limited at first, now ubiquitous, but without eliminating every job.
On the other hand, some argue that AI is diverting capital away from the physical world, causing 90% of basic expenses (housing, food, transport) to keep rising while real pogre stalls. Physical robotics will never take off if people spend hours staring at screens.
Censorship and ideological bias
A recurring point is the growing censorship in AI models. It is mentioned that four years ago ChatGPT would answer without restrictions on controversial topics, but now the answers are ideologically aligned. This breeds distrust about its use as a neutral tool.
The debate leaves open questions: will AI lead to a UBI with expiring money, or to war? Or will it simply be one more tool that coexists with human employment? While some bet on collapse, others believe AI will end up voting for Spain's Socialist Party (PSOE). The future, as always, hangs in the balance.
Related debates in the forum
Artificial intelligence creates a feedback loop that could make most of the population redundant in less time than expected, according to a recurring analysis. The proposed solution: a universal basic income funded with expiring digital money to control inflation. Or, as an alternative, a war that cuts the population in half.
The exponential AI loop
The core argument starts from exponential acceleration: AI improves technology, which in turn improves AI, shortening the cycles. This process would make humans increasingly unnecessary in the labour market. The inevitable consequence would be the introduction of a universal basic income (UBI) through central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) with expiring money, to avoid runaway inflation.
Scepticism and realism
Against this view, others point out that AI is still immature and that in about two years we will see a pause in job replacement. The argument is that after the first wave of layoffs, problems will arise that force companies to rehire staff. The replacement will be gradual and partial, not immediate. Some even compare it to the arrival of the internet: limited at first, now ubiquitous, but without eliminating every job.
On the other hand, some argue that AI is diverting capital away from the physical world, causing 90% of basic expenses (housing, food, transport) to keep rising while real pogre stalls. Physical robotics will never take off if people spend hours staring at screens.
Censorship and ideological bias
A recurring point is the growing censorship in AI models. It is mentioned that four years ago ChatGPT would answer without restrictions on controversial topics, but now the answers are ideologically aligned. This breeds distrust about its use as a neutral tool.
The debate leaves open questions: will AI lead to a UBI with expiring money, or to war? Or will it simply be one more tool that coexists with human employment? While some bet on collapse, others believe AI will end up voting for Spain's Socialist Party (PSOE). The future, as always, hangs in the balance.
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Summary of a discussion on Burbuja.info - Foro de economía, actualidad y política., translated from Spanish and reviewed before publication. Read the full discussion (16 replies).
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