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G-7 Meets as U.S. Housing Pressures Global Growth
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ad7AeJQFrNnE&refer=home
Destaco:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ad7AeJQFrNnE&refer=home
Destaco:
Es la primera oportunidad de ver como piensa Paulson (ex-CEO de Goldman y nuevo secretario del Tesoro USA). Le darán caña a China por no dejar subir el Yuan, como siempre, pero yo creo que además quizá se dé la bendición del G-7 a la gran bajada del dolar que se lleva esperando bastante tiempo. Declaración mañana a las 5.30pm (hora de Singapur), antes de que abra Europa.Sales of U.S. existing homes have declined every month since G-7 officials last met in April, and the National Association of Realtors predicts house prices will drop this year for the first time since 1993. The International Monetary Fund yesterday branded the slowing U.S. housing market a ``key risk'' to expansion.
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Flagging home values would remove a source of wealth that has helped drive consumption and growth during the past five years. Housing accounts for about 15 percent of the economy, according to the realtors group.
...David Rosenberg, chief North America economist at Merrill Lynch & Co. in New York, forecasts a 45 percent risk of a U.S. recession next year and a record 5 percent drop in U.S. home prices.
``The problem is the U.S. economy has been sustained by consumption,'' Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz, former chief economist at the World Bank, said in an interview. American consumers ``were taking money out of their houses. That isn't possible if house prices start to go down. This was a crash waiting to happen.''