esperando al petroleo del manto - Page 2

Asdrúbal el Bello · #16 (**permalink**) 11-09-2008, 11:50 AM

Parece una película de terror.

Cita:

We estimate that the average production-weighted observed decline rate worldwide is currently 6.7% for fields that have passed their production peak. In our Reference Scenario, this rate increases to 8.6% in 2030. The current figure is derived from our analysis of production at 800 fields, including all 54 super-giants (holding more than 5 billion barrels) in production today. For this sample, the observed post-peak decline rate averaged across all fields, weighted by their production over their whole lives, was found to be 5.1%. Decline rates are lowest for the biggest fields: they average 3.4% for super-giant fields, 6.5% for giant fields and 10.4% for large fields. Observed decline rates vary markedly by region; they are lowest in the Middle East and highest in the North Sea.
This reflects, to a large extent, differences in the average size of fields, which in turn is related to the extent to which overall reserves are depleted and whether they are located onshore or offshore. Adjusting for the higher decline rates of smaller fields explains the higher estimated decline rate for the world, compared with that based on our dataset.

Los TITULARES

Cita:

More of the same: a vision of a laisser-faire fossil-energy future
Massive investments in energy infrastructure will be needed
Most incremental oil and gas will come from OPEC – if they invest enough
The world is not running short of oil or gas just yet
But field-by-field declines in oil production are accelerating…
…and barriers to upstream investment could constrain global oil supply

Soluciones que da:
Stronger oil company partnerships could bring mutual benefits
Oil-rich African countries have no excuse for their citizens’ energy poverty
The consequences for the global climate of policy inaction are shocking
The road from Copenhagen must be paved with more than good intentions
The stabilisation goal will determine the scale of the energy challenge
Tackling climate change will require big shifts in spending
The energy future will be very different

chafamandurrias · #17 (**permalink**) 11-16-2008, 08:27 PM

Environmental Capital - WSJ.com : Peak Oil: Prominent Peaker Tells Allies to (Temporarily) Pipe Down

Peak Oil: Prominent Peaker Tells Allies to (Temporarily) Pipe Down
Posted by Jeffrey Ball

Cita:

(...)
In a memo “To The Peak Oil Community,” Hirsch recommends that the group “minimize its effort to awaken the world to the near-term dangers of world oil supply.”

His rationale is itself plenty grim. “If the realization of peak oil along with its disastrous financial implications was added to the existing mix of troubles, the added trauma could be unthinkable,” he wrote to his colleagues.
(...)

chafamandurrias · #18 (**permalink**) 11-20-2008, 11:13 PM

The 30 greatest conspiracy theories part 2 - Telegraph

The 30 greatest conspiracy theories - part 2, 16 to 30
By H. E. Hunt
Last Updated: 4:12PM GMT 19 Nov 2008

Cita:

20. The peak oil conspiracy
Peak oil (a theory in itself) is the supposed peak of oil production during and after which demand for oil outstrips supply sending prices through the roof. The peak oil conspiracy theorists believe that peak oil is a fraud concocted by the oil industries to increase prices amid concerns about future supplies. The oil industry is aware of vast reserves of untapped oil, but does not utilise them in order to maintain the illusion of scarcity, they claim.

chafamandurrias · #19 (**permalink**) 11-23-2008, 01:12 AM

BBC NEWS | World | Middle East | Yemen 'faces crisis as oil ends'

Yemen 'faces crisis as oil ends'
By Martin Plaut
BBC News

Cita:

Yemen is facing an economic and political crisis as the country's oil resources near exhaustion, a report by a London-based think-tank says.

The Royal Institute for International Affairs warns that instability there could expand a zone of lawlessness from northern Kenya to Saudi Arabia.

It describes Yemen's democracy as "fragile" and points to armed conflicts with Islamists and tribal insurgents.

One diplomat says that the country's prospects get worse every month.

The World Bank predicts that Yemen's oil and gas revenues will plummet over the next two years and fall to zero by 2017 as supplies run out.

Given that they provide around 90% of the country's exports, this could be catastrophic.

An unnamed energy expert is quoted in the report as saying that this points to economic collapse within four of five years time. (...)

Herramientas
Mostrar Versión Imprimible Enviar por Email
Desplegado
Mode Lineal Cambiar a Modo Hibrido Cambiar a Modo Hilado