Iniciado por chameleon

Esto (para que no sea offtopic) me da pie a resucitar un link ya posteado en el foro de Dmitry Orlov, acerca de cómo el pueblo de la antigua URSS sobrevivió a su colapso, eran gente dura, ¿llegaríamos a su nivel?

Lecciones postsoviéticas para un siglo postamericano
Dmitry Orlov 2005

Iniciado por animosa

Vosotros igual tambien estais subestimando la economia española.

Iniciado por Ladrillo Mortal

Los funcionarios NO crean riqueza, son una manifestación de la misma.

Iniciado por seacock

Es un truco contable. Cargas la deuda a las CCAA, los municipios, las empresas y las familias. ¿Estos no están arruinados?

Iniciado por seacock

Y esta huelga es estructural: en el mundo (te lo dice uno que ha visto más allá de tu pueblo, sea el que sea) o compites o mueres. Y España lleva sin competir realmente 30 años. Ahora empieza a ver las consecuencias.

¿O tú te crees que España va a estar chupando de fondos europeos hasta que se muera? Algunos habéis nacido ayer.

Iniciado por Adicto

Si no tiene misterio, hoy día es posible alquilar apartamentos de más de 50 m2 construidos de nueva construcción en los nuevos paus que rodean Madrid por 500 € o incluso menos (gastos incluidos).

Iniciado por animosa

Pero no me acordaba que aqui hay mucho nuncabajista del petroleo: "el petroleo nunca baja, es imposible, la demanda es infinita "

Oil Exporters Are Unable
To Keep Up With Demand
Domestic Needs,
Sluggish Investment
Crimp Shipments
By NEIL KING JR. and SPENCER SWARTZ
May 29, 2008; Page A8



The world's top oil producers are proving unable to put more barrels on thirsty world markets despite sky-high prices, a shift that defies traditional market logic and looks set to continue.

Fresh data from the U.S. Department of Energy show the amount of petroleum products shipped by the world's top oil exporters fell 2.5% last year, despite a 57% increase in prices, a trend that appears to be holding true this year as well.

There are several reasons behind the net-export decline. Soaring profits from high-price crude have fueled a boom in oil demand in Saudi Arabia and across the Middle East, leaving less oil for export. At the same time, aging fields and sluggish investments have caused exports to drop significantly in Mexico, Norway and, most recently, Russia. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries also cut production early last year and didn't move to boost supplies again until last fall.

In all, according to the Energy Department figures, net exports by the world's top 15 suppliers, which account for 45% of all production, fell by nearly a million barrels to 38.7 million barrels a day last year. The drop would have been steeper if not for heightened output in less-developed countries such as Angola and Libya, whose economies have yet to become big energy consumers.

For all the attention paid to China's increasing energy thirst, rising energy demand in the Middle East may pose the greater challenge. Last year, the region's six largest petroleum exporters -- Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Iran, Kuwait, Iraq and Qatar -- curbed their output by 544,000 barrels a day. At the same time, their domestic demand increased by 318,000 barrels a day, leading to a loss in net exports of 862,000 barrels a day, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Demand in the Middle East is a major factor right now, said Adam Robinson, an oil analyst at Lehman Brothers in New York. Mr. Robinson predicts the region will constitute more than 40% of increased demand next year.

Saudi Arabia in particular has become a major energy consumer as the country pushes to put its oil riches to greater use. The kingdom is in the middle of a major investment campaign to become a world player in petrochemicals, aluminum and fertilizers, all of which will require huge amounts of oil and natural gas.

Since 2004, Saudi oil consumption has increased nearly 23%, to 2.3 million barrels a day last year. Jeffrey Brown, a Dallas-based petroleum geologist who studies net export numbers, said that at its current growth rate, Saudi Arabia could be consuming 4.6 million barrels a day by 2020.

That would cut significantly into Saudi exports even as the world looks to its largest oil supplier to help manage rising demand. Saudi Arabia has nearly a quarter of the world's proven reserves and supplies around 12% of the 86 million barrels a day that the world now consumes.

One reason Middle Eastern nations are using more oil is a shortage of natural gas, said Bill Farren-Price, director of energy at Medley Global Advisors. This is particularly troublesome during the summer, when governments scramble to keep the lights on and air conditioners cranking.

Some producers, such as the U.A.E., are easing back at times on the crucial industry practice of injecting natural gas into crude oil fields, which is done to boost reservoir pressure and increase crude recovery rates. Halting the injections ends up undercutting oil production, further reducing exports.

As top exporters hit trouble, historically marginal players such as Brazil and Kazakhstan are likely to play a greater role. Three of the four non-OPEC players among the top 15 oil exporters -- Russia, Norway and Mexico -- are reporting declines in production this year. Kazakhstan is showing slight net export gains.

No big exporter is struggling more than Mexico, where net exports dropped 15% in 2007. Mexican officials announced Monday that output from the country's once-mighty offshore Cantarell field had plunged by a third in less than a year.

Analysts said there are reasons for optimism. Russia's government is scrambling to alter the tax rates that many say have put a lid on new oil development. Mr. Robinson said 65 new ultra-deepwater drilling rigs are expected to arrive over the next three years, following a five-year stretch in which the industry gained only 10 such rigs.

Those additional rigs will help companies tap some of the most promising, but now inaccessible, waters off Brazil, Australia, West Africa and in the Gulf of Mexico.

"The sense in the market is that peak oil is here and that things will only get worse," says Mr. Robinson. "But the verdict is still out on that."

Iniciado por Fraga

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1212..._us_whats_news

Iniciado por Adicto

Si no tiene misterio, hoy día es posible alquilar apartamentos de más de 50 m2 construidos de nueva construcción en los nuevos paus que rodean Madrid por 500 € o incluso menos (gastos incluidos).

Iniciado por seacock

Curiosamente, el día que cumplo años, pudiera ser el día que marque un punto de inflexión:

- Se conocerá cómo ha evolucionado la economía en abril (que tiene visos de ser horrenda, sólo cogiendo el dato de coches vendidos y ese 70% menos de casas en construcción; ya veremos los parados también)

- La inflación por las nubes y el fanstasma de la estanflación aparece

- El euribor en escalada libre por la inflación de Alemania y Europa

- La balanza comercial dando tumbos, alcanzando límites esperpénticos

- La no llegada todavía de la temporada de turisteo

- El club Bilderberg se reúne esta semana, en la que tomarán medidas clara para acabar con la crisis subprime

- Y como colofón, la huelga indefinida de transporte que paralizará el país, con el extraordinario efecto dominó que acarreará. Esta vez no hay medias tintas: el Estado no puede permitirse una subvención a los transportistas porque no tiene un duro y estos últimos ya no pueden ser competitivos (no lo eran hace tiempo, pero Europa hizo los deberes y tiró de trenes).

Soy de la opinión que algo gordísimo empezará pronto. No es madmaxismo pero los números desgraciadamente ya no se aguantan más. Llevamos años tratando de analizar la imposible coyuntura de nuestro país, pero la comparación con otras crisis históricas y el estado de otros países en comparación al nuestro, hacen presagiar lo peor, lo más horrendo. El momento no parece estar muy lejos ya.

En las crisis siempre emerge un detonante puntual que desencadena los acontecimientos. ¿Será esta huelga de transporte el detonante de la crisis financiera española de principios del S.XXI?

¿Qué opináis vosotros?

Iniciado por Fraga

De poco servirá si no baja la demanda en China y resto de Asia, en los propios países productores e incluso América Latina, ni hablemos de África.

Iniciado por Adicto

Si no tiene misterio, hoy día es posible alquilar apartamentos de más de 50 m2 construidos de nueva construcción en los nuevos paus que rodean Madrid por 500 € o incluso menos (gastos incluidos).