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Antiguo 11-ago-2011, 15:17
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Y Grecia no era Irlanda, Y portugal no era Grecia, y España no era Portugal
Muy inteesantes este artículo extraido de Zero Hedge.

SocGen CEO Dismisses Rumors, Says France Is Not US - He's Right, It's Worse And Bank Run Is Likely In Progress Now!

We warned our paying subscribers about the potential of a French bank run over a month ago and described the process in illustrative detail. See:

1. The Fuel Behind Institutional “Runs on the Bank” Burns Through Europe, Lehman-Style!
2. The Anatomy Of A European Bank Run: Look At The Banking Situation BEFORE The Run Occurs! (see the free links below at the end of this article for more)

We also named the most at risk bank in question, and offered explicit trade setups to monetize the situation. What is happening now in France is basically a foregone conclusion and was easily foreseen if one was paying attention, or even if one was just reading BoomBustBlog. Now comes the next step in the saga, and that is the debunking of misinformation and disinformation.

Contrary to what some European bank officials have to say, the current crisis is and EXACT mirror of 2008. Reference this excerpt from On Your Mark, Get Set, (Bank) Run! The Dominos of Serial Lehman 2.0 (x 4) In The EU Are Falling Into Place At A Quickening Pace:

Here are a few updates supporting my thesis of the potential of a serial bank run (another one, that is) in Europe and the Eurozone. As was the case with Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearn (two of the biggest bank collapses that I have called during this "ongoing crisis), counterparties and funding sources get gun shy in the face of overvalued collateral and signs of insolvency - as well they should. Remember, we have identified banks that are at risk of Lehman 2.0, and for the exact same reasons that Lehman was at risk of such. Reference The Anatomy Of A European Bank Run: Look At The Banking Situation BEFORE The Run Occurs!, which I consider to be a must read!

Focusing on the most pertinent and contagious of the issues at hand leads us back to the initial premise of a European bank run. I laid the foundation for said topic discussion last Thursday in "The Fuel Behind Institutional “Runs on the Bank" Burns Through Europe, Lehman-Style" and the fear du jour is a European version of the Lehman Brothers or Bear Stearns style bank run. The aforelinked at explanatory piece is a must read precursor to this illustration of what can only be described as the anatomy of a European bank run - before the fact. Remember how the pieces of the puzzle were perfectly laid together for a Bear Stearns collapse in January of 2008, two months before the bank's actual collapse? Reference "Is this the Breaking of the Bear?"(January 2008) in which Bear Stearns collapse was illustrated in explicit, graphic detail. Lehman Brothers wasn't impossible to see either (Is Lehman really a lemming in disguise? Thursday, February 21st, 2008 | Web chatter on Lehman Brothers Sunday, March 16th, 2008).

Yes, I did capitalize on the collapse of Bear Stearns and Lehman by identifying their failure and fall many months before it was every mentioned in the market or analysts reports. May I also add, they both had investment grade ratings from all three major purveyors of that... "stuff", and the management of both banks swore the market was simply exaggerating the problems when things did surface publicy. Using the archival power of the Web, let's reminisce, as excerpted from Four Facts That BANG JP Morgan That You Just Won't Hear From The Sell Side!!!


Fuente: SocGen CEO Dismisses Rumors, Says France Is Not US - He's Right, It's Worse And Bank Is Likely In Progress Now! | ZeroHedge
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Antiguo 11-ago-2011, 15:37
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