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Antiguo 26-oct-2006, 17:03
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http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...yEc&refer=home



U.S. New-Home Sales Rise, Prices Slump From Year Ago (Update2)


By Bob Willis

Oct. 26 (Bloomberg) -- New-home sales in the U.S. unexpectedly rose for a second month in September as selling prices declined by the most since 1970.

Purchases increased 5.3 percent to an annual pace of 1.075 million during the month from a 1.021 million rate in August, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. The median price of a new home dropped 9.7 percent from a year earlier, partly a result of more sales of homes priced less than $200,000 and fewer purchases of more expensive houses.

The report suggests that builder incentives, lower mortgage rates, and falling prices will keep this year's housing slowdown from deepening. It also signals the Federal Reserve, which kept interest rates unchanged for a third month yesterday, is successfully managing an economic slowdown that it hopes will stifle inflation.

``The worst of the downturn in housing seems to be over,'' said Lynn Reaser, chief economist at Bank of America Investment Strategy Group in Boston. ``Homebuilders are achieving success in boosting sales, although at the cost of aggressive incentives.''

Economists' surveyed by Bloomberg News forecast sales would decline to a 1.04 million rate from August's originally reported 1.05 million pace. Forecasts ranged from 995,000 to 1.1 million.

Treasury securities remained higher after the report, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year security down 3 basis points to 4.73 percent at 10:08 a.m. in New York.

The report follows data yesterday from the National Association of Realtors that showed sales of previously owned homes declined last month to the lowest level in almost three years.

Contract Signings

Economists say the government's new-home sales data, recorded when a contract is signed, are a better leading indicator of the real estate market than the Realtors statistics. Most existing home sales are recorded when a contract closes, and reflect buying decisions made months earlier.

The median price of a new home declined to $217,100 in September from $240,400 a year earlier, today's report showed. It was the biggest decrease since an 11.2 percent year-over-year drop in December 1970, the Commerce Department said. The median price was the lowest since $211,600 in September 2004.

Inventories also declined in September. The number of homes for sale dropped to a seasonally adjusted 557,000 during the month, the lowest since March. The supply of homes at the current sales rate declined to 6.4 months' worth from 6.8 months.

Federal Reserve

The Fed kept its benchmark interest rate at 5.25 percent yesterday and said lower energy prices should help reduce inflation as ``the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace.''

Central bankers are ``no longer worried about the downside risks to the economy from housing,'' said Chris Rupkey, chief financing economist at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd. in New York. ``This should be good news as a weakened housing sector is unlikely to keep the Fed from achieving a soft landing for the economy.''

A separate report from the Commerce Department today showed that orders for durable goods increased last month by the most in more than six years on demand for commercial aircraft and business equipment.

Sales of new homes are still down 14 percent from the same time last year, the Commerce Department said. The National Association of Realtors forecast a 17.3 percent drop in new-home sales this year to 1.06 million, still the fourth-highest on record.

Mortgage Rates

Lending rates, based on yields in the U.S. Treasury market, have declined in recent months. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate fell to 6.36 percent last week from 6.8 percent in late July, according to Freddie Mac, the second-largest buyer of U.S. mortgages.

Pulte Homes Inc., the largest U.S. homebuilder by market value, said yesterday that its third-quarter earnings slumped 52 percent as a flood of unsold homes showed no signs of abating.

``The operating landscape for new-home sales remained challenging during the third quarter,'' Richard J. Dugas Jr., Pulte's chief executive officer said in the statement. He cited high inventory levels, affordability issues and elevated cancellation rates, and said ``a general lack of buyer confidence continued to weigh on new home demand.''

The number of homes that are completed and waiting to be sold rose by 6,000 to 157,000 in September, today's report showed.

Regional Breakdown

Sales rose in two of four regions. They increased 24 percent in the West to 280,000, and 6.9 percent in the South to 603,000. They fell 35 percent in the Northeast to 57,000, and 6.3 percent in the Midwest to 135,000.

Residential construction subtracted 0.72 percentage point from gross domestic product in the second quarter. The economy slowed to an annual rate of 2.6 percent during the three months, from a 5.6 percent pace in the first quarter, the latest government data show.

Mortgage lenders, builders and makers of construction materials are feeling the pinch. Countrywide Financial Corp., the biggest U.S. mortgage lender, said this week that its mortgage- banking profit dropped 40 percent.

The U.S. housing market has ``already had a hard landing,'' Countrywide's Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo said on a conference call with analysts. ``We're probably going to be through with this in the next few months and then start treading water over the 2007 period as the industry consolidates.''

To contact the reporter on this story: Bob Willis in Washington at [email protected]
Last Updated: October 26, 2006 10:27 EDTB


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Antiguo 26-oct-2006, 17:08
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The U.S. housing market has ``already had a hard landing,'' Countrywide's Chief Executive Officer Angelo Mozilo said on a conference call with analysts. ``We're probably going to be through with this in the next few months and then start treading water over the 2007 period as the industry consolidates.''

Ya no hay aterrizaje suave en EEUU.


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Antiguo 26-oct-2006, 17:09
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HIGHLIGHTS

El precio medio de una casa nueva descendio hasta los 217 mil dolares en seprtiembre desde los 240 mil de un año antes , segun muestra el informe de hoy. Ha sido el mayor decrecimiento de un año para el otro desde la caida de un 11.2% de diciembre de 1970 , dice el Departamento de Comercio. El precio medio ha sido el menor desde los 211 mil dolares de septiembre del 2004



Las ventas de casas nuevas estan aun un 14% por debajo del mismo momento del año pasado , segun el Departamento de Comercio. La Asociacion nacional de agentes inmobiliarios pronostica una caida del 17.3% en la venta de casas nuevas este año , la cuarta mas alta respecto al record.


Nota: Si alguien detecta algun error en la traduccion por favor que avise y editare el mensaje con la correccion correspondiente.

Última edición por Futuroscope; 26-oct-2006 a las 17:18


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Antiguo 26-oct-2006, 17:33
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EEUU:

Precio medio vivienda nueva: 217 mil dolares ( 173000 EUROS aprox. )
Renta per capita : 43236 dolares ( 34588 EUROS aprox.)

ESPAÑA :

Precio medio vivienda nueva: 282 mil dolares ( 225900 EUROS para una vivienda de 90 metros cuadrados )
Renta per capita : 27542 dolares ( 22033 EUROS aprox. )






Fuentes:

Rentas per capita segun datos del 2006 de: http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lista_de_países_por_PIB_(PPA)_ per_cápita

Precio medio de vivienda nueva en EEUU segun la noticia de Bloomberg que aparece en este hilo.

Precio medio de una vivienda nueva de 90 metros cuadrados en España , calculado a partir de los 2510 euros del metro cuadrado para vivienda nueva , segun la Sociedad de Tasacion. Extraido de : http://es.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vivienda_en_España

SEGUIREMOS INFORMANDO

Última edición por Futuroscope; 26-oct-2006 a las 18:11


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Antiguo 26-oct-2006, 17:46
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Iniciado por Futuroscope

ESPAÑA :

Precio medio vivienda nueva: 282 mil dolares ( 225900 EUROS para una vivienda de 90 metros cuadrados )

Ay! que penita de estadisticas y de medias...


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