Si tan excelso es el dato del PIB porque está bajando hoy la bolsa en USA?, ¿no será que se les está agotando la gasolina antes de tiempo?, desmasiada pasta inyectada en los mercados para aguantar el tenderete, o siguen inyectando o se les desincha el invento.

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¿No tienen un "excel" para hacer los calculos? Quizas han utilizado software libre y no sabian bien como funcionaba.

Mas humo.

GDP: 20% Miss (Yes, Really) - The Market Ticker

GDP: 20% Miss (Yes, Really)

GDP 3Q 2009 "Second Estimate" is out and it is 2.8%.

But let's remember - it was 3.5% on the "preliminary" report.

That's a 20% decline.

Was that an error, or was that an intentional overstatement to pump the markets and "confidence" in the original "preliminary" estimate?

Oh, and cash-for-clunkers? It was responsible for half of the so-called "advance" in the 3rd quarter (1.45%), it was a one-time deal, and it was and is just more pulled-forward demand.

Government expenses? Up 8.3%. State and local governments? They were essentially flat (down 0.1%)

The GDP report also claims that real domestic purchases were up 3.5%, but the sales tax report says otherwise.

Where did the "error" come from?

The second estimate of the third-quarter increase in real GDP is 0.7 percentage point lower, or $23.7 billion, than the advance estimate issued last month, primarily reflecting an upward revision to imports and downward revisions to personal consumption expenditures and to nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by an upward revision to exports.

Commercial Real Estate and actual personal spending.

Both not what they claimed.

Gee, such a shock, given the sales tax data from the states.

NOT.

PS: The claimed numbers are still, in my opinion, BS, as the sales tax numbers from the states do not support the claimed "expansion."

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Seguro que estas "rectificaciones" del PIB no vienen a primera pagina en los medios de masas. AL final cuanto mas lees te das cuenta que es todo mentira.