La FED "admite" que crea las burbujas

hugolp

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Janet Yellen, la presidente de la Reserva Federal de San Francisco, ha dicho que la FED debería considerar subir los tipos de interés antes para evitar la formación de burbujas, y que si la FED hubiera subido los tipos de interés antes, la burbuja inmobiliaria no hubiera crecido tanto (a buenas horas chata).

Todo esto lo dice sin pestañear mientras tienen los intereses artificialmente al 0%. Puede ser parte de la campaña que la FED ha empezado para lavar su imagen: http://www.burbuja.info/inmobiliaria/burbuja-inmobiliaria/113068-el-plan-para-auditar-la-fed-2.html#post1738649

Si teneis tiempo fijaros en los comentarios de la noticia.


MarketWatch.com Story

Jun 5, 2009, 4:40 p.m. EST
Fed should pop next housing bubble, Yellen says
Higher rates might have slowed appreciation in home prices

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The Federal Reserve should consider raising interest rates earlier to prevent asset bubbles from getting too big, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Janet Yellen said Friday, in a notable departure from long-term Fed consensus that monetary policy should not be used to prick asset bubbles.

Yellen said that she thinks the Fed should raise rates to lean against the expansion of a bubble in certain circumstances, especially when a credit boom is the driving factor.

"In the current episode, higher short-term interest rates probably would have restrained the demand for housing by raising mortgage interest rates, and this might have slowed the pace of house price increases," Yellen said in remarks to a central bank conference. Read her speech.
Houses Still Not Priced to Sell

One out of every four homes on the market has experienced a price reduction, but when you look at the discounts, sellers still are loath to lower their asking prices, a Trulia.com study says. Jonathan Burton reports.

Policymakers should "first and foremost" consider other tools, like tougher regulation, to take the air out of bubbles. But interest rates were in the mix, she said.

Yellen told a Fed conference that she did not appreciate prior to the recession how important Fed short-term interest rates were to high-leveraged financial institutions, like broker-dealers.

Yellen said she was not laying blame for the housing bubble on the central bank.

Yellen also said that she had raised her preferred target for long-run inflation to a 2% rate of inflation. Prior to the downturn, Yellen had favored a 1.5% rate of inflation as measured by the personal consumption index. But Yellen said she had reconsidered this level because of the potential danger to the economy from deflation.

In the last seven years, there have been two deflation scares and a global depression. Central bankers might get lucky and this period will prove to be an aberration but researchers should prepare, Yellen said.

Speaking at the same conference, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, said regulators were asleep about the dangers of the evaporation of liquidity.

The risk of a liquidity crisis received scant attention by academics, Rosengren said. If it was mentioned, researchers generally said that banks would be able to go to the Fed's discount window for a short-term loan.

Policymakers never imagined that liquidity would disappear for months, as has happened in the current downturn.

Rosengren said he has concluded that the government must make financial institutions less opaque. Concerns that counterparties might be in financial trouble was a key factor in liquidity drying up, Rosengren said.

Regulators should also consider new debt instruments that automatically convert to common equity under certain circumstances to qualify as capital on a bank's balance sheet, he said.

In the talk about current policy, Yellen said that she was not convinced that the ballooning of the Fed's ballooning of its balance sheet would raise inflation.

But she said the recent rise in Treasury rates would be "disconcerting" if it was reflective of such concerns.

In any event, it was clear that the textbook on monetary policy has been thrown out.

The Fed has embarked on a new policy to buy almost $2 trillion in assets to bring interest rates down.

There is no map for this policy, Yellen said. The Fed is just charting its course as it goes.
 

pepon26

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Eso Hugo, lo sabemos todos. Fue Alan "burbujitas " Greenspan, el padre de todo el desaguisado actual con su política de tipos reales negativos durante décadas.

El que en u tiempo era considerado el Dios de Wall Street, un "financial superhero", la historia ha demostrado que era un patán que la cagó bien cagada.
 

Creditopropulsado

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No os preocupeís, en menos de 10 años no existirá moneda FIAT. Al tiempo.
 

pacomer

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Bueno Greenspan fue responsable de dos burbujitas las .com y la ladrillera, menudo tiorro.
Y ni siquiera nos cabe el consuelo de que sea sefardí, tampoco lo es el Bernanke.
 

Eddy

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a) No tenemos ni idea de como funciona esto.

b) La cagamos a lo grande.

c) Sin embargo, mantenemos nuestra promesa de una inflación moderada (ahora 2%, porque 2 me parece un número más bonito y majo que 1,5, y además Carloh Jezú dice que el 2 da suerte)

d) Seguiremos intentando remedios hasta que algo funcione (a diferencia de un capítulo de House, aquí el médico es en realidad un conserje)
 

Fraga II

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Spanish Great Depression
KumarRaj dijo:
Yellen is right. Interest rates are too low to encourgage common man to save. It is low interest rate that made consumer leverage beyond his means in US. Now banks wouldn't lend them. So it is the market players who get to leverage at very cheap rate and keep bubbling up the asset bubble.

in fact, the money that the FED is pumping in NOW is only going to substitute the sythentic money created by the banking system that created the bubble that thretened to bust last year. NON OF THE MONEY IS GOING IN FOR CREATING NEW ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OR NEW JOBS. THE FED IS ONLY KEEPING THE SAME BUBBLE FROM DEFLATING.

UNLESS MONEY GOES IN FOR CREATING REAL WEALTH AND JOBS, THINGS COULD BECOME EVEN WORSE.

The real problem is with the US consumer. He has no incentive to save in risk free assets. The Interest rates are too low. So the consumer went on to borrow more and consume rather than save. He is now consuming beyond his means and the bankers wouldn't lending him any more. This conditions has come by in 2006 itself, and the markets reacted to it in May 2006 with a big thumps down. But the FED HELPED by cutting interst rate and pumped more funds to those who have created the asset bubble...it is continuing to do so even now.

From 2001 to 2006 (when the interest rates were extremely low) US personal consumption expenditure was growing at a faster phase than personal income growth. On the base of 1997, by 2006 April, US consumer's total credit grew by 82% while Personal Consumption Expenditure rose by 70%. But income growth was only 60%. It is this that made the common man bankrupt, Manufacturing industry is already in a spot. it is only the question of time before it ends up with he fancy leveraged fund managers.













¿Había mensajes semejantes en la prensa de internet cuando reventó al burbuja dot-com y la FED hinchó la burbuja del ladrillo?, ¿o realmente algo está cambiando y la imagen pública de ese cáncer se está yendo por el sumidero?. Lo pregunto ya que entonces era muy pequeño como para interesarme por estos asuntos.
 

pepon26

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La burbuja .com fue una broma en comparación con la inmobiliaria que tenemos ahora y que de alguna manera fue fruto de las medidas para atajar la .com.

¿Sabeis que en gran medida la burbuja .com fue causada por el cambio de siglo? ¿Os acordais que decian que con el cambio de año, del 99 al 2000, muchos sistemas informticos dejarian de funcionar? Eso originó un enorme gasto en sistemas informáticos para evitar el efecto 2000, lo que a su vez provocó una burbuja en las .com (que por cierto, de por si ya estaban bastante calentitas). Todo esto explotó en Marzo del 2000.

Desde entonces, hay empresas que han pasado de cotizar a 3000$ a 3 $ (JDSU; MSTR...).
 

hugolp

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¿Había mensajes semejantes en la prensa de internet cuando reventó al burbuja dot-com y la FED hinchó la burbuja del ladrillo?, ¿o realmente algo está cambiando y la imagen pública de ese cáncer se está yendo por el sumidero?. Lo pregunto ya que entonces era muy pequeño como para interesarme por estos asuntos.
Tampoco puedo asegurarlo porque tampoco me interesaba el tema en esa época, pero creo que todo el movimiento de Ron Paul y su insistencia (casi cansina) sobre la FED y la política monetaria ha puesto luz al tema y le ha dado al banco central una relevancia que no querían de ninguna de las maneras. A la FED ya le iba bien siendo ese organismo oscuro que "nadie" entendía y del que casi nadie hablaba.

Eso Hugo, lo sabemos todos. Fue Alan "burbujitas " Greenspan, el padre de todo el desaguisado actual con su política de tipos reales negativos durante décadas.

El que en u tiempo era considerado el Dios de Wall Street, un "financial superhero", la historia ha demostrado que era un patán que la cagó bien cagada.
Claro que lo sabíamos. La cuestión es que han tenido que admitirlo publicamente.