Iniciado por Eddy

Roubini discute el probable ataque a Irán previsto por Joscka Fischer

will Israel attack Iran nuclear facilities before the end of the Bush administration ? Joschka Fischer argues yes

Fourth, Iran would use both the threat of blocking the flow of oil out of the Gulf and an actual sharp reduction of its exports of oil (an embargo) to spike the price of oil.

Oil prices would rapidly rise above $200 per barrel and the US and global economy would spin into a severe stagflationary recession (like those triggered by the sharp spikes in the prices of oil following the staflationary shocks of the Yom Kippur war in 1973, the Iranian revolution in 1979 and the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990).


Lo que está claro es que el ataque, de haberlo, sería antes de las elecciones USA.